Kane, has been the subject of much discussion in the last couple of weeks following his goal claim. Many are wondering if he has not been at the races due to that distraction, or as a result of rushing back from injury. While he may not have been at his best recently the Spurs forward still has two goals to his name over the last four gameweeks. No player has fired off more than Kane’s 112 shots from inside the box over the course of this season, or taken more than his 70 efforts on target. So, a points’ explosion could be just around the corner. Five goals separate Kane and Salah, but with home fixtures against Watford, Newcastle and Leicester remaining, as well as a trip to West Brom, the race for the Golden Boot is certainly not over. Spurs will host Watford on Monday evening and our Fix algorithm expects Kane to score 7.8 points, only second to Salah with 9.6 points. With Liverpool’s tie against Roma far from a forgone conclusion, it makes sense to turn our attentions to a nailed on Kane. Spurs are also predicted to score 2.78 goals via our Fix algorithm in this encounter, marginally behind Man. City and Liverpool with 3.11 and 3.10 respectively. So, captaining the Spurs man is certainly a sensible option.
Sterling, is another name being bandied around the media circus this week, for “having breakfast” after missing out on the PFA Young Player of The Year Award. With all this victimisation and scrutiny on our nation’s hopes, anyone would be forgiven for thinking that a major national tournament must be just around the corner. Nevertheless, Sterling’s name features here for more positive reasons, after his goal and assist during the 5-0 romp of Swansea in gameweek 35. Sterling has extended his lead as Man. City’s top FPL point scorer, with an almighty 211 going into gameweek 36. His 32 Fantasy Premier League (FPL) involvements can be bettered only by Salah, who has 42, while only Agüero, Kane, and Salah have scored more goals than the Man. City midfielder’s 18, with 21, 26 and 31 to their names. Over the last four gameweeks, Sterling, has provided an unrivalled six FPL involvements and Only Eriksen and Lacazette, with four, have scored more than his three goals. Meanwhile, only Sánchez has matched Sterling’s three assists. Man. City travel to the London stadium to face West Ham in gameweek 36 and our Fix algorithm predicts that the Cityzens will score 3.11 goals, which is hardly a surprise given West Ham’s leaky defence of late, that has seen the Hammers ship 17 goals in their last seven league games. Sterling is a must for the season run-in.
Son, is without doubt, one of the most entertaining and dynamic midfielders currently gracing the Premier League. His direct style of play adds an added dimension to the Spurs’ attack which they lack when he is absent. While many will be wary of his game-time with Moura and Lamela waiting in the wings, Spurs top-four place is far from guaranteed, and as it stands, Son, is first-choice. Following his assist against Brighton, the South Korean has been directly involved in 19 league goals this season, 12 goals and 7 assists, and only Sterling and Salah, with 18 and 31, have scored more than Son’s 12 goals amongst midfielders. Over the last four gameweeks his six efforts on target is level with Sterling and Eriksen and only Salah, Zaha and Arnautovic, with seven, seven and eight, have taken more amongst midfielders. Son’s home form has been particularly impressive, with nine of his 12 goals and five of his seven assists coming at Wembley. In fact, at home he has been involved in 0.7 big (goal-scoring) chances and produced 0.9 FPL involvements per game, compared to only 0.4 big chances and 0.3 FPL involvements per game, on the road. This bodes well given that three of Spurs final four games are at home. As mentioned in our piece on Kane, Spurs face Watford in gameweek 36 and our Fix algorithm forecasts a score of 6.6 for the South Korean, making him a wise investment if you do not already own him.
Ayew, is somewhat of a leftfield pick for gameweek 36 given who he is lining up against, but the Swansea striker has a solid record so far this year and if the Swans are to stay up he will be called upon heavily in the remaining games - which look relatively favourable. Following his suspension, the budget forward returned to the Swansea lineup to face Everton in gameweek 34 and immediately found the net taking his total to seven goals and two assists. It is worth highlighting his efficiency of late, with two goals in his last four matches from a total of five efforts at goal. When compared with other budget forwards, priced 6.0 or less, only Perez, 102, Rodriguez, 103, and Murray, 109, have produced more FPL points than Ayew this season who has 100 – and with a relatively kind schedule to end the season, including a double gameweek against Bournemouth and Southampton, we would not put it past him to be the highest scoring budget forward come the end of the season. Swansea host a Chelsea side who are far from their formidable selves in the league at present, having conceded eight goals in their last five games, with four of those goals coming at the hands of teams placed 14th or worse. So, Ayew, could do some damage in this one.
Dummett, makes the grade as an enabler. No nailed on player, with a double gameweek, comes in cheaper than the Newcastle man in defence, at just 4.2. Newcastle suffered a narrow defeat on the road to Everton last gameweek, but, their recent home form has been very impressive. They have won each of their last four games at St James’ Park, against Arsenal, Huddersfield, Southampton and Man. United. Benitez’s side have conceded just one goal in those games, putting them on par with Liverpool for the fewest goals conceded across the last four home games, while only Everton, Spurs and Liverpool could match Newcastle’s three clean sheets during that period. Having featured for the full 90 minutes in each of the last 12 league games, Dummett’s starting place appears very secure and the left-back could be value for the run-in. Newcastle will host West Brom in gameweek 36, who have seen a mini-resurgence in their last two games. However, West Brom have failed to score in three of their previous three away games prior to Man. United in gameweek 34. Our Fix algorithm predicts 3.9 points for Dummett. When compared to Bertrand, 3.4, and Cédric, 3.2, who are at home to a favourable opponent it looks reassuring. The algorithm also states a 51% chance of a clean sheet for Newcastle, ranking them third, ahead of Liverpool in fourth with a 50% chance.
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