Salah (10.3) is this year's superstar. The Egyptian is becoming more well-known globally than his native land’s Pyramids and appears almost invincible in the league, averaging an astonishing 8.16 Fantasy Premier League (FPL) points per game played this season and trails Kane (12.8) in the golden boot contest by just one goal. However, his 29 FPL involvements (goals and assists) this season is five clear of any player and six more than Kane. Salah has also been involved in more big chances, with 29, to Kane’s 28 and Aguero’s (11.9) 24. Over the last four gameweeks, Salah, has been directly involved in five goals scoring four and assisting another. Salah’s total of seven shots on target over the same period is on par with Agüero and only Shaqiri (6.1), De Bruyne (10.3), with eight, and Kane, with 13, have taken more. Liverpool have been kind enough to arrange a fixture with their feeder club for gameweek 27 and Salah is predicted to score 7.6 points via our Fix algorithm – the most across the game. Liverpool have scored 11 goals in their last five games and if they want to cement their place in the top four, you would expect Salah, who has contributed to 49% of Liverpool’s league goals this season, to be involved.
Kane (12.8) has slid in price by a couple of digits in the last week, but we are still backing the forward, who became the second fastest player to reach 100 Premier League goals (behind Alan Shearer) in gameweek 25. Following his last-minute penalty against Liverpool the Spurs man has now scored 22 league goals this season, one more than Salah has managed. Kane’s total of 60 shots on target is leaps ahead of any player, with Salah and Agüero the next in the table, on 48 and 36 respectively. All three players have each scored four goals over the last four gameweeks, and no one can top them. Kane’s total of 13 shots on target during this time is at least five more than any other player and his involvement in six big chances over that period leads the way, on par with surprise package, Benteke (7.6). Tottenham host Arsenal in gameweek 27 and our Fix algorithm projects 2.36 goals for Pochettino’s men – the second most behind Man. City. An interesting prediction given Arsenal’s performance versus Everton, but we must remind ourselves that the Gunners have conceded 11 goals in their last five league games versus “top six” opponents. Kane is second behind Salah in the Fix algorithm table with 6.9 points expected.
Wilson (5.9) has been selected three times in our top five over the last four gameweeks as a result of strong displays and good underlying numbers. With little in the way of value around this price-point, Wilson, is a must for those who have structured their team to accommodate a budget third striker. The Cherries forward has provided nine FPL involvements during his 13 starts this season, scoring seven times himself and providing two assists. Amongst forwards priced 8.5 or below only the out of form, Rooney (7.3), has scored more goals per game, averaging 0.5 compared to Wilson’s 0.4 goals per game. Over the last four gameweeks only Agüero, with five, has been directly involved in more goals than Wilson, with four, amongst forwards. Bournemouth have scored eight times over the last four gameweeks, the fourth best in the league, behind Liverpool, Spurs, with 9, Man City, with 10 and Arsenal, with 11. Bournemouth make the long trip north to face Huddersfield in gameweek 27. The Terriers have not won in eight league games and have conceded 2.13 goals a game during that period. Wilson is predicted to score 4.6 points which is the best projection when analysing forwards priced under 8.5, ahead of Giroud (8.2), with 3.6, and Deeney (6.3), with 3.5.
At the minute, Walker (6.6), is arguably the only nailed on defender at Man. City. While he has averaged less attacking FPL involvements when compared to his season with Spurs last year, the attacking right-back still possesses similar underlying stats which suggest FPL involvements cannot be far off. The first choice English right-back has produced five assists this season, a stat he shares with former teammates, Trippier (5.2) and Davies (5.5), while only Azpilicueta (7.0), with six, has provided more from defence. Man City have kept 12 clean sheets this season and only Chelsea, with 13 and Man. Utd, with 15, have kept more. Over the last four gameweeks no defender has created more big chances than the Man. City right-back, who has created two, and over the same period Man. City have conceded just three big chances, which is the lowest number across the league. Leicester are in possession of the short straw this week having to travel to Man. City’s daunting coliseum. The Foxes could face a backlash after Pep saw his side squander two points to Burnley late on in gameweek 26. Man. City are given a 45% chance of a clean sheet via our Fix algorithm and Walker is predicted to score 4.4 points.
Willian (6.8), has looked a threat in recent weeks and has been one of only a few shining lights on display at Chelsea during this turbulent period. On his day, his ability is clear to see – strong dribbler, direct, good vision, pacey, impressive crosser of the ball – so, is this the time he puts together a consistent run? The Brazilian was in red hot form during the four games prior to his minor hamstring injury, providing an impressive total of two goals and three assists, between gameweek 21 and gameweek 24. His eight shots on target over that period was more than any other midfielder, and only Kane, with 10, managed more amongst all players. Burnley’s Gudmundsson (5.0) was the only player to produce more attempted assists than Willian over that same timeframe, with 14 compared to Willian’s 12. Chelsea welcome relegation strugglers West Brom to the Bridge for gameweek 27 which provides Conte, Willian and co. a solid platform to re-build from. Our Fix algorithm expects goals - 1.99 to be precise - which pits Chelsea third in that respective table behind only Tottenham and Man. City. Willian is also predicted to be the highest scoring midfielder priced under 7.5 with 4.5 points, ahead of fellow teammate, Fabregas (6.8), with 4.1
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