Blog

28 Dec.

GW20 Top Five Key Players

By Fantasy Football Fix ()

Caveat : The statistics used were accurate at the time of writing (written before Southampton vs. West Ham).

Headliner – Harry Kane (WOL)

Kane headlines the picks for a second consecutive week as Wolves visit Wembley in gameweek 20, and Spurs are starting to look like genuine title contenders. The 25-year old scored his 12th goal of the season in gameweek 19, and only trails Aubameyang by one goal in the golden boot race. As the Custom Stats Builder table shows, over the last six gameweeks, only Aubameyang (11) and Rashford (11) have had more shots on target (SoT) than Kane’s eight amongst forwards, and he also ranks third for shots with 18. No forward has scored more goals than Kane’s five in this period. Pochettino’s Spurs historically hit form in December and over the last six gameweeks no team has scored more goals than their 19 while only Liverpool (42) and Man. United (44) have landed more SoT than their 34. After showing initial signs of promise early in the season the Wolves' defence is now struggling to keep clean sheets. Since gameweek nine, they have kept just one clean sheet, the lowest in the league in that period, and have conceded 16 goals in 11 matches. Our Fix Algorithm predicts the Wolves' defence to be breached once again, and a point score of 7.2 for Kane. 

gw20top5kane

Mohamed Salah (ARS)

Salah maintained his spot at the top of the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) points table with a goal and assist against Newcastle in gameweek 19, as he looks to be rediscovering the form that made him a must own asset last season. Over the last four gameweeks the Egyptian has racked up a massive 47 points with five goals and two assists. No midfielder has taken more shots in the box (SiB) than his nine or fired more SoT than his seven in this time. Only Spurs (14) have scored more goals than Liverpool’s 12 in this period, and only Man. United have landed more SoT (32) than their 28. Their opponents Arsenal are the only team in the league yet to register a clean sheet on the road, conceding 16 goals in their nine away matches, at an average of nearly two a game. With injuries in defence for Arsenal, it is hard to see this being anything other than a resounding victory for the Reds, and Salah to be at the forefront. Our Fix Algorithm predicts a point score of 6.8 for the Egyptian.

gw20top5salah

Aleksandar Mitrovic (HUD)

Mitrovic can consider himself unlucky not to get on the scoresheet in gameweek 19, with seven shots in the first half alone, a record high for the season. As the Fix Match Preview feature shows, the Serbian is crucial to the Cottagers’ chances of Premier League survival. He is second only to Kamara (1.8) for expected goals in the last five matches, and has landed more SoT (eight) than any of his team-mates. He has also created six chances, second only to Seri with 12 and no forward has taken more shots (21) or SiB (16) than the Serbian over this period, while only Aubamayang (nine) and Rashford (11) have landed more SoT than his seven. Although the Cottagers have only scored three goals in this time, it was not for want of trying as they attempted 66 shots, the sixth highest in the league. With both of these teams rooted to the bottom of the table, this fixture appears to be a ‘relegation six pointer’ in every sense, and given that Huddersfield have conceded 10 goals in their last five matches, Ranieri is likely to adopt an attacking approach to go for the win. Our Fix Algorithm backs the Serbian with a point score of 3.7.

gw20top5mitro

James Maddison (CAR)

Leicester pulled out surprise results in their last two games beating Chelsea and Man. City, and the Foxes will be looking to build on that momentum as they face Cardiff in gameweek 20. As the Fix Heatmaps feature shows, the Englishman averages 4.8 points per home game, and no team-mate has created more than his 14 chances or attempted more shots than his 20 on home turf. The Foxes have scored 12 goals in these nine matches with 39 SoT. Although Maddison has not scored in the last four gameweeks Cardiff’s defensive statistics offer plenty of cause for optimism. Over the last four gameweeks, only Burnley (nine), Bournemouth (11) and Everton (12) have conceded more goals than the Bluebirds’ eight, and no team has allowed opponents more SoT than their 23. Our Fix Algorithmpredicts Maddison to get attacking returns, with a point score of 4.6.

gw20top5maddy

José Holebas (NEW)

Holebas notched his fifth assist of the season against Chelsea in gameweek 19, and only Trippier (six) and Mendy (seven) have more amongst defenders. He also tops the defenders table for goal involvement with eight, the same as Alonso. Only Digne (24) has created more chances amongst defenders in home matches than Holebas 17 and the Greek defensive play-maker has taken six shots in those eight appearances. Watford’s opponents Newcastle have only scored seven goals in their nine away matches, the third lowest in the league. They took only 79 shots in these matches, again the third lowest in the table. Our Fix Algorithm predicts a 44% chance of a clean sheet for the Hornets, and a point score of 4.4 for Holebas.

gw20top5holebas

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