Blog

22 Sept.

GW2 Lessons Learned

By Fantasy Football Fix ()

1. xFPL review

xFPL is calculated primarily using expected goals (xG), assists (xA), which combine as Fantasy Premier League (FPL) involvements (xG + xA = xI), as well as expected clean sheets (xC). These numbers are a result of underlying statistics (i.e. shot type and location will give a probability of scoring = xG). xFPL is the combination of these statistics and factors in appearance and bonus points to give an overall expected FPL point score.

Calvert-Lewin tops the Custom Stats xFPL table for gameweek two with a score of 15.7, the 23-year-old had a total of six shots in the box (SiB), three of which were ‘big chances’. De Bruyne comes in second with an xFPL score of 12.4. The gameweek’s most creative player was the Man. City midfielder, the Belgian attempted six assists and landed four shots on target (SoT) to land a 13 point Fantasy Premier League (FPL) return. Son posted an xFPL score of only 11.1 as he scored from all four of his shots, three of which were ‘big chances’. Kane posted a similar xFPL score of 11.6. All four of his attempted assists were converted and he scored from his only SoT.

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2. Wolves look hungry

Despite losing to Man. City, Wolves put in a shift especially in the second half and with a favourable run of fixtures over the next five gameweeks, they look like ideal investment candidates. A look at the Stats Sandbox over the last two gameweeks shows that Saiss leads the way for xFPL score (12.09) while Jimenez (eight) leads the shot numbers by some margin. The Mexican also leads the way for ‘big chances’ (three). Podence posts impressive numbers as well, two of the three chances the Portuguese created were ‘big chances’ and he also took some set pieces when Moutinho was not on the pitch. Saiss (5.1), Podence (5.5) and Jimenez (8.5) all look to be exceptional value for their kind run of fixtures.

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3. Man. City pick up where they left off

Man. City were a goal scoring machine over the restart and look to have picked up where they left off. A look at their numbers using the Match Stats feature shows that the Manchester side had a whopping nine SoT against one of the most frugal defences in the league. De Bruyne’s numbers are exemplary, six attempted assists and four SoT. Sterling had a quiet game by his standards, the winger took just one shot and attempted just one assist. Jesus looked sharp, the Brazilian landed three SoT and attempted one assist. Foden (0.36) actually beat Jesus (0.30) for expected goals (xG) despite taking two shots to his three. Investment in the league’s most prolific attack appears essential going forward. 

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