Caveat: This blog was written prior to the matches on 13/1/2020 and 14/1/2020.
Headliner - Kevin De Bruyne (CRY/AVL)
De Bruyne has amassed one goal and two assists across the last four gameweeks to average 7.0 points per game (PPG). Despite playing one game fewer than most midfielders over that period, his total of three ‘big chances’ can only be bettered by Salah (four), B. Fernandes and El Ghazi (five each). Meanwhile, only Grealish (five) has created more ‘big chances’ than his three. He is a popular transfer target in midfield this gameweek as per our Transfer Stats feature. Man. City have scored seven goals over the last six gameweeks and their total of 18 ‘big chances’ is bettered only by Man. Utd (23). Their first opponents Palace have conceded 12 goals over the aforementioned period and only West Brom (14) have been more porous. Leeds, West Brom (each 16) and Newcastle (17) are the only team to have allowed opponents more ‘big chances’ than the Eagles’ 15. Villa have conceded just three goals over the last six gameweeks but it is worth mentioning that only Spurs (26), Newcastle (31), Leeds (32) and West Brom (36) have allowed opponents more shots on target (SoT) than the Villans’ 25. Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 14.9 for the Belgian.
Mohamed Salah (MUN/BUR)
Salah has amassed just two goals and one assist in the last four gameweeks, failing to score in each of the last three. But, as the Stats Sandbox shows, amongst Fantasy Premier League (FPL) midfielders, only El Ghazi and B. Fernandes (each five) have had more ‘big chances’ than his four in that time. Only Rashford (35) and Mané (44) can better his 31 touches in the opposition’s box. Liverpool have scored 10 goals over the last six gameweeks while only Leeds (13) and Man. Utd (15) have scored more. Their total of 76 shots is bettered only by Leeds (85), Villa (91) and Man. Utd (93). Man. Utd have conceded seven goals over the last six gameweeks, keeping just two clean sheets. Only Newcastle (84) and West Brom (97) have allowed opponents more shots than their 74. Burnley have conceded three goals over the same period, keeping two clean sheets. They have allowed opponents 73 shots, a total that can only be topped by Leeds, Man. Utd (each 74), Newcastle (84) and West Brom (97). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 12.7 for Salah.
Michail Antonio (BUR/WBA)
Having now returned to fitness, Antonio will be looking to build on the three goals he managed to score in the opening six gameweeks of the season. The 30-year-old landed nine SoT in that time, and only trails Bamford (11), Calvert-Lewin (12) and Kane (13) amongst FPL forwards. He ranked fifth for shots in the box (SiB) (15) and seventh for total shots (18). West Ham have scored four goals over the last six gameweeks, taking 45 shots and creating six ‘big chances’. West Brom have conceded 14 goals over the same period, keeping no clean sheets and no side has shipped in more. The Baggies are also bottom for total shots (97) and SoT conceded (36). Burnley, who West Ham take on in their second game have allowed opponents 46 SiB and only Leeds, Man. Utd (each 53), Newcastle (54) and West Brom (61) have been more generous. Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 8.9 for Antonio.
Harvey Barnes (SOU/CHE)
With two goals in the last four gameweeks, H. Barnes has averaged 5.0 PPG in that time, as can be seen using our Fix Heatmaps feature. His total of 12 shots can only be bettered by Rashford (13), Neves (15), El Ghazi (18) and B. Fernandes (20) amongst midfielders. No teammate can better his three SoT or his 0.77 non-penalty expected goals (xG) figure. Leicester have scored seven goals over the last six gameweeks, taking 67 shots and creating seven ‘big chances’. Chelsea have shipped nine goals over the same period, keeping just one clean sheet. Only Wolves (10), Leeds, Newcastle (each 11), Palace (12) and West Brom (14) have conceded more. Sheff. Utd (12), Palace (15), Leeds, West Brom (each 16) and Newcastle (17) are the only sides to have allowed opponents more big chances than Chelsea (11). Southampton have conceded two goals over the last six gameweeks, keeping three clean sheets. The Saints have allowed opponents 55 shots and six ‘big chances’ over this period. Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 8.6 for Barnes.
Rúben Dias (CRY/AVL)
Dias has kept two clean sheets over the previous four gameweeks (from gameweeks 14-17) to average 5.8 PPG. The centre-back ranks top amongst teammates for both clearances (15) and blocks (five) in that time. Cancelo and Gündogan (each four) are the only other players to have been awarded more bonus points than his three over this period. He is rated at 100% to start as per our Predicted Lineups feature. Man. City have conceded just two goals over the last six gameweeks, keeping two clean sheets. No side has allowed opponents fewer SoT (eight) over this period while only Fulham (two) have conceded fewer ‘big chances’ than City's three. Palace have scored just four goals over the same period and only Fulham (30) and West Brom (22) took fewer shots than the Eagles’ 39. The Eagles are also bottom for ‘big chances’ created (four). Villa have scored eight goals over the last six gameweeks and are ranked third for ‘big chances’ (15) and SoT (32) over that time. Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 9.6 for Dias.