Salah (9.1), is just one of a few who is noticeably under-priced in this week’s Top Five picks. The wondrous winger has been involved in everything good at Liverpool recently, scoring nine and assisting three goals in 14 games, across all competitions. No midfielder in the league has had as many shots on target as Salah’s 18 so far this season. Eriksen (9.7), and Ramsey are second and third with 13 and 11 respectively. Salah has managed more Fantasy Premier League (FPL) involvements (assists and goals) with seven when compared to Eriksen, Mkhitaryan (8.3) and Alli (9.3) who have six, six and five to their name. Gameweek 10’s opponents, Huddersfiled, will be buoyed by last week’s win against Man. United, but Klopp will have worked his troops hard all week (with no Carabao cup distraction) to bounce back from their Wembley horror show. Liverpool are currently predicted to score 2.14 goals in gameweek 10, which is just 0.05 behind top ranked Watford. As for Salah, he has been involved in 50% of Liverpool’s goals, and with a predicted Fix algorithm score of 5.4, many prudent FPL managers will be looking to captain the Egyptian prince.
Coming soon on fix - heat maps showing a completely new range of statistics from average player positions to where shots were taken! Below shows the average position per game:
Richarlison (6.3), was our differential in gameweek eight when he was owned by just 6.9%. The Brazilian winger is now firmly cementing his place in many managers’ setups, with an ownership increase to 13.2% as this is being written. This is hardly surprising when we study the numbers and run a quick eye test over the Watford man. Currently, he has averaged more shots per game with 3.2, than Sterling (8.2), Morata (10.3), Jesus (10.7) and Firmino (8.5) who have 3.1, 2.8, 2.5 and 2.1 respectively. His minutes per FPL involvement sits at 107.3, which is better than Mkhitaryan’s 111.3, Silva’s (8.5) 111.9 and Eriksen’s 124.7. From analysing the games, Richarlison is involved in almost every Watford attack, and seems hugely under-priced at 6.3. At a price of 7.5 he would still be a good return on investment. Stoke travel to Vicarage Road in gameweek 10, so, Richarlison and co. should be licking their lips. The Potters have conceded 18 goals in their last six league games, while Watford have scored eight goals in their last four games. With that in mind, two goals for the home side should be minimum expectations here, with the Fix algorithm predicting 2.19. Richarlison also finds himself in the top four of the Fix algorithm projected points table, with 5.2.
This week’s Man. City lottery draw has provided us with City’s left-winger, Sané (8.6). The German youngster continues to impress when called upon, and looks to be one of the more secure routes into Man. City’s attack for gameweek 10, having been afforded a rest versus Wolves in the Carabao Cup. If Pep continues to set up his team in a 4-3-3 formation then Sané also benefits from being Man. City’s only natural left-winger. Currently, he is producing FPL involvements every 55.3 minutes, which is better than Sterling’s 59.6, Jesus’ 70.6, Silva’s 111.9 and De Bruyne’s (10.0) 107.3. His goal conversion % is also unrivalled with five goals from seven shots on target. Exciting numbers, which explain why he is outperforming his expected FPL involvements for the first nine gameweeks with a total of 9 versus just 5.9 that were projected (this calculation is based on underlying numbers and what FPL involvements are expected as a result). It is seven games without a win now for Tony Pulis’ side conceding 10 goals in that spell. Man. City have already paid a visit to the Hawthorns this season in the Carabao Cup, with that game ending 2-1 to the visitors including a brace from Sané. Our Fix algoritihm predicts a point score of 4.2.
Four braces in nine games cannot and will not be ignored. Kane (12.7), is fast becoming the Premier League’s nearest equivalent to Messi/Ronaldo in La Liga. An FPL involvement every 78.3 minutes across his last 39 league games further compels such a statement. If you have watched Kane play, you quickly learn he is the complete forward. A player that can drop deep into a number 10 role to fuel attacks from nothing, as well as perform in the out and out number nine position. His phenomenally high shooting statistics are therefore more impressive, given his all-round contribution for Spurs. 57 shots in nine gameweeks is 68% more shots than any other midfielder or forward. Put simply, he is in a totally different league. Man. United away will be Spurs’ sternest test so far this season, but it is worth noting that Kane has scored four and assisted one goal in his last five matches versus “top six” opponents, demonstrating that he can do it against anyone. Fix algorithm is clearly wary of Jose Mourinho’s defensive shenanigans, forecasting a score of 4.0 points for the Spurs forward. But, this is Harry Kane.
A close fought contest between Wales’ second favourite son, Ramsey (7.1), and Sánchez (11.8) for gameweek 10. With Arsène choosing to start Özil (9.3), Lacazette (10.3) and Sánchez for the first time in gameweek nine and three players managing double point scores there is certainly room for optimism. Sánchez and Ramsey have scored 23 and 21 points respectively from their last three games, but the fact Ramsey costs 40% (which is 4.8) less than Sánchez has swung it in the Welshman’s favour. With a value per million spent of 0.70 versus Sánchez’ 0.38, it becomes compelling. Ramsey has fired 11 shots on target so far this season, which is as many as Jesus and Lacazette and two more than Morata. Arsenal face Swansea at the Emirates in gameweek 10, which is a daunting task for a side that have won just once in their last six league games, conceding five goals to the likes of Leicester, West Ham and Watford during that spell. Our Fix algorithm predicts a score of 4.0 in gameweek 10, which looks more than achievable given Ramsey’s shot output of late.
Coming soon on fix - heat maps showing a completely new range of statistics from average player positions to where shots were taken! Below shows the shot counter per game (blue; on target / red; wide / green; goal):
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