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Double Gameweek 25: Top Three FPL Captaincy Picks

Fantasy Football Fix 16 Feb. 2024

In this blog, the three best Captaincy options for Fantasy Premier League (FPL) Double Gameweek 25 are discussed. Picks are in the below format:

  1. No.1 predicted by Fix 
  2. Alternative high-ownership option. Over 20%
  3. Differential option. Under 20%

Erling Haaland (CHE/BRE)

Haaland’s two goals last weekend made it 16 goals for the campaign, three goals clear of Solanke in second (13). Despite missing several Gameweeks through injury, the Norwegian international is still top amongst forwards for shots on target (SoT) (34), ‘big chances’ (BC) (29) and ‘Expected Goals’ (xG) (16.45). Man. City have scored 11 goals over the last four Gameweeks with only Newcastle, Liverpool (12 each) and Arsenal (16) faring better. Meanwhile, only Arsenal (56) have taken more shots in the box (SiB) than their 50. Their first visitors Chelsea have conceded 22 goals in away matches this season and have kept just two clean sheets on their travels. The Blues are ranked 11th for xGC (22.60) in away matches. Their second opponents Brentford have conceded eight goals over the last four Gameweeks (10th) and are ranked 12th for xGC (7.14). Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a point score of 16.1 for Haaland.

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Kevin De Bruyne (CHE/BRE)

Since his return to the Man. City squad in Gameweek 21, De Bruyne has notched a goal and four assists taking him to 28 FPL points, an average of 7.0 FPL points per Gameweek as shown in the below image from our Fix Heatmaps feature. Despite limited minutes, he has created nine chances with only Ødegaard beating him for BC created (five vs four) and ‘Expected Assists’ (xA) (2.13). Man. City (56) have scored more goals than any other side this season despite playing a game fewer. Only Liverpool (162) have landed more SoT than their 160 while they are ranked fourth for xG (47.09). Their first opponents Chelsea have conceded 40 goals (13th) this season and have kept just five clean sheets. The Blues are ranked ninth for ‘Expected Goals Conceded’ (xGC) (37.50). Their second opponents Brentford have conceded 39 goals (eighth) and have kept just four clean sheets this campaign. The Bees are ranked ninth for shots conceded (322) and fourth for xGC (33.32). Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a point score of 11.8 for De Bruyne.

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Darwin Núñez (bre/LUT)

Darwin’s goal last weekend made it three in the last four Gameweeks for the Uruguayan international, only Adebayo and Højlund (four each) have fared better amongst forwards. As the Stats Sandbox image below shows, he is top for both shots (20) and SiB (14) while only Toney (six) has been afforded more BC than his five. Liverpool have scored 12 goals over the last four Gameweeks (second) with only Man. City (33) landing more SoT than their 31. The Merseyside outfit are ranked fourth for xG (7.95). Their first opponents Brentford have conceded 16 goals in away matches (fifth) and have kept three clean sheets. They are ranked third for shots conceded (156). Their second opponents Luton have conceded eight goals over the last four Gameweeks (10th) and are ranked 10th for xGC (6.91). Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a point score of 8.2 for Darwin.

gw26top5darwin

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