Last week’s differential picks delivered. Doku scored and picked up maximum bonus against Brentford for an 11-point haul, Hinshelwood found the net against Wolves, and Matheus Nunes kept a clean sheet.
With just Gameweeks 37 and 38 left, chasing upside is the priority if you want to climb the ranks or win your mini-leagues.
Every player in this week’s list is currently under 10% owned, making them ideal options for managers looking to attack the run-in and climb rank.
Our strategy balances attacking potential with defensive coverage:
⚽ 3 attacking player – midfielders or forwards
🛡️ 2 defensive players – defenders or goalkeepers
This ensures coverage across the pitch while prioritising FPL points, essential for Gameweek success.
Everton are still in the hunt for European qualification, and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall looks central to their late-season push.
The 27-year-old English midfielder has played 29 games this season, scoring eight goals and providing seven FPL assists.
As shown in the Opta Stats Sandbox tool, only Beto, with nine, has scored more league goals for Everton. Dewsbury-Hall is also joint-top for assists alongside Garner, while his creativity has stood out, with nine 'big chances' created and 6.07 expected assists (xA).
There is goal threat too. He has produced 37 shots, with 15 on target and 26 coming from inside the box.
His all-round game adds another route to points. Dewsbury-Hall has picked up 18 bonus points, more than any other Everton player, and has also earned 10 points from defensive contributions (DEFCON), averaging 7.41 DEFCON per game.
With set-piece involvement, goal threat, creativity and Everton still having something to play for, he looks a strong differential for the final two Gameweeks.
Casemiro is set to leave Manchester United at the end of the season, so this could be his final two-game Premier League swansong.
The Brazilian has produced his best FPL attacking output of the campaign, scoring nine goals and providing four assists in 33 appearances.
That is a huge jump on his previous seasons. In 2024/25, Casemiro managed just one goal and no assists. In 2023/24, he registered one goal and four assists, while in 2022/23 he produced four goals and four assists.
Only Šeško, with 11, has scored more league goals for Man United, while Casemiro is joint-third for assists. He has also been a bonus-point magnet, collecting 20 bonus points — second only to Bruno Fernandes on 37.
There was some concern after he missed the last game, but Michael Carrick eased fears, saying: “Case, he’ll be fine for next week, it’s nothing major.”
And despite that absence, his recent numbers still stand out. Looking at the Match Centre feature over the last five games, Casemiro is joint-top for goals with two, joint-third for xG with 0.8, third for shots on target with four and joint-second for attempted assists with six.
With Nottingham Forest at home up next before a trip to Brighton, Casemiro could be a low-owned final flourish pick.
Another week, another recommendation for Jack Hinshelwood.
The 21-year-old Englishman has now scored three goals in his last five games, continuing his excellent late-season form for Brighton.
We first recommended him as a differential when he was just 0.1% owned in our Best Wildcard Differentials for FPL Gameweek 32 article, where we highlighted his more attacking role.
That positional shift is now showing clearly in the numbers. Using the Opta Heatmaps tool, we can compare his per 90 stats from Gameweeks 1-25 with Gameweek 26 onwards — and the improvement is significant.
Since Gameweek 26, Hinshelwood’s goals per 90 have risen from 0.13 to 0.29, while his xG have jumped from 0.09 to 0.40. His shot volume has also more than doubled, going from 1.20 shots per 90 to 2.43, with shots in the box rising from 0.93 to 2.04.
He is not just getting more chances, either — he is offering more creatively too. His xA per 90 has increased from 0.04 to 0.19, attempted assists have gone from 0.40 to 0.87, and he is now creating 0.19 'big chances' per 90 after failing to register any before Gameweek 26.
Brighton are still pushing for European qualification, while their final two opponents may have less incentive. Leeds are now safe, and Man United have already qualified for the Champions League.
With Leeds away and United at home to finish the season, Hinshelwood remains a lively differential at just 1.0% ownership.
Michael Keane offers a different route into Everton’s final two fixtures.
The Toffees are still chasing European football and face Sunderland at home before travelling to Spurs, making their defensive assets worth considering.
The fixtures look promising from a clean-sheet perspective. Sunderland have scored just 14 away goals this season, the second-worst total in the league behind only Wolves with seven. Spurs, meanwhile, have managed just 20 goals in home matches, the fifth-lowest tally.
When you add in Everton’s defensive record, the appeal becomes stronger. As shown in the Opta Stats Sandbox tool, the Toffees have kept 11 clean sheets this season, the joint-fourth-most in the league. The Predicted Points & Stats tool also gives Everton a 70% chance of keeping a clean sheet across the run-in, behind only Arsenal.
But Keane is not just a clean-sheet pick.
The 33-year-old has played 31 games this season and scored three goals. His goal threat is strong for a defender, with 24 shots, 20 of them coming from inside the box, and 2.87 xG.
Where Keane really stands out, though, is DEFCON. He has averaged 9.19 defensive contribution actions per game and has picked up DEFCON points in 14 of his 31 appearances. That gives him an extra route to points, even when Everton fail to keep a clean sheet.
For managers needing a cheap, low-owned defender with clean-sheet potential, set-piece threat and DEFCON upside, Keane looks a strong run-in option.
Riccardo Calafiori’s Gameweek 36 was frustrating. The Italian defender was taken off at half-time against West Ham after Ben White picked up an injury, forcing Mikel Arteta into a reshuffle after using Declan Rice in defence.
Before coming off, though, Calafiori still showed his upside. In just 45 minutes, he managed three shots, one big chance and 0.33 xG, underlining his attacking threat from defence.
✅ 3 shots and 0.33 xG in just 45 minutes vs West Ham
— Fantasy Football Fix (@FantasyFootyFix) May 11, 2026
✅ Averaging 1.33 shots per game — the most of any defender
✅ BUR (H) • CRY (A) to finish the season
✅ Just 6.0% owned
Could Riccardo Calafiori be the differential to help you climb the ranks in the run-in? 🤔 pic.twitter.com/o4O8cylLxs
Over the season, the 23-year-old has played 24 games, scoring once and assisting twice. However, his attacking data suggest he could have had more, with 32 shots, 22 from inside the box and registering 3.26 xG.
Arsenal’s final two fixtures are appealing. They host Burnley in Gameweek 37 before travelling to Crystal Palace on the final day.
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