Picks are always in the below format
- No.1 predicted by Fix
- Alternative high-ownership option. Over 20%
- Differential option. Under 20%
Harry Kane (wba)
Kane has scored five goals over the last four gameweeks, top amongst forwards. Only Bamford (20) has taken more shots than his 19 and the Leeds striker is the only forward to have landed more SoT (nine) than his seven. Spurs have scored 12 goals over the last four gameweeks, more than any other side. Their total of 14 ‘big chances’ is bettered only by Liverpool (15). West Brom have conceded five goals over the last four gameweeks, keeping just one clean sheet. They have conceded 18 SoT and six ‘big chances’ over those matches. Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 7.2 for Kane.
Timo Werner (SHU)
Werner took two penalties in Chelsea’s midweek Champions League game while Jorginho was on the pitch and was confirmed as the Blues’ first choice penalty taker by Lampard in his post-match interview. Only Watkins, C. Wilson (both four) and Kane (five) have scored more goals than his three over the last four gameweeks. As the Stats Sandbox shows, his total of five SoT is bettered only by Calvert-Lewin, Watkins, Kane (all seven) and Bamford (nine). Chelsea have scored 10 goals over the last four gameweeks, only Southampton, Villa (both 11) and Spurs (12) have been more prolific. Their total of 34 shots in the box (SiB) is bettered only by Villa (39), Man. City (40), Liverpool (41) and Leeds (50). Sheff. Utd have conceded six goals over the last four gameweeks, keeping no clean sheets. Only Villa (26) have conceded more SoT than the Blades’ 24 and no team has conceded more ‘big chances’ (10). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 4.8 for the German.
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (AVL)
Aubameyang got back on the scoresheet with a goal against Man. Utd in gameweek seven and will be looking to add to his tally as Arsenal host Villa at the Emirates. Over the last four gameweeks, the Gabonese has taken six shots, landed three SoT and created four chances. Arsenal have scored just three goals over the aforementioned period but it is worth mentioning they have played Sheff. Utd, Man. City, Leicester and Man. Utd over that run, so Arteta is likely to setup in a more attacking shape for Villa’s visit. At under 15% ownership, the Gabonese is an explosive differential and the impact on your rank can be ascertained using the Rank Prediction Machine. The Gunners have taken 36 shots and landed 14 SoT over those four matches. Villa have conceded nine goals over the last four gameweeks, keeping just one clean sheet. Only Liverpool (11) have been more porous. Only Newcastle (66) and Palace (68) have allowed opponents more shots than their 61 and no team has conceded more SoT (26). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 5.7 for Aubameyang.