Caveat - Picks are in below format
- No.1 predicted by Fix
- Alternative high-ownership option. Over 20%
- Differential under 20%
Raheem Sterling (WAT)
Man. City will be looking to bounce back from their first league defeat of the season as they host a struggling Watford side at the Etihad. Although Sterling has blanked in his last two fixtures, his underlying statistics are still impressive. The winger still ranks top amongst midfielders for goals (five), shots (18), shots in the box (SiB) (16), shots on target (SoT) (eight) and ‘big chances’ (eight). The defending Champions still top the attacking metrics as well, they are first for goals (16), shots (102), SiB (74), SoT (38) and ‘big chances’ (12). Watford are yet to keep a clean sheet and have shipped 10 goals, only Chelsea (11) and Norwich (12) have conceded more. They allowed opponents 24 SoT with only six teams faring worse and are also ranked seventh bottom for ‘big chances’ allowed with 11. Our Fix Algorithm projects a point score of 8.2 for Sterling
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (AVL)
Aubameyang has notched attacking returns in every game this season and his total of five goals can only be beaten by Pukki (six), Abraham and Aguero (both seven). As the Custom Stats table shows, his 16 shots ranks him sixth amongst forwards and he is also fifth for SoT with seven with only Barnes, Abraham, Aguero (all eight) and Pukki (12) faring better. Arsenal’s total of eight goals is beaten only by five teams and only Chelsea (31), Liverpool (33) and Man. City (38) have landed more SoT than the Gunners’ 26. Their opponents Villa have been fortunate to ship only six goals so far, as only Norwich (93) and Arsenal (96) have allowed opponents more shots than their 90. They are also fifth worst for SiB conceded with 52. Our Fix Algorithm backs the Gabonese to get on the scoresheet with a point score of 7.1.
Callum Wilson (sou)
Like Aubameyang, Wilson has notched attacking returns in every game so far with three goals and three assists. He has been involved in six of Bournemouth’s eight goals, an impressive goal involvement rate of 75%. Although he has had only six shots, the interactive shot map below shows five of these were ‘big chances’ and only three forwards have been afforded more. He continues to display a creative aspect to his game as well, attempting nine assists with only Deulofeu (12) creating more amongst forwards. The Cherries have scored in every game this season and only five teams have managed more than their eight goals. They are ranked eighth for ‘big chances’ with 10. The Saints kept a clean sheet in gameweek five but their underlying numbers indicate this could be a goalfest. Only five teams have allowed more shots than their 75 and only six teams have allowed opponents more SoT than their 25. Our Fix Algorithm backs Wilson to get attacking returns again with a point score of 4.2.