28 Aug.

GW4 Top Three Captaincy Picks

By Fantasy Football Fix ()

Caveat - Picks are in below format

  1. No.1 predicted by Fix
  2. Alternative high-ownership option. Over 25%
  3. Differential under 20%

Raheem Sterling (BHA)

Sterling continued his rampant start to the season with his fifth goal in three games and the midfielder is top in his position for shots (12), shots in the box (SiB) (12), shots on target (SoT) (seven) and ‘big chances’ (seven). The defending Champions have continued where they left off and they top the table for goals (10), shots (63), SiB (47), SoT (24) and ‘big chances’ (14). Brighton have had a good start to the season under Potter, with four points from their three matches. Their defensive statistics make for impressive reading, the Seagulls have conceded only 31 shots, the seventh-best in the league but it is worth mentioning that they played Watford, West Ham and Southampton in those games, not the rampant attacking force that is Man. City. Our Fix Algorithm backs Sterling to find the back of the net again with a point score of 7.5.


Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (TOT)

Aubameyang picked up his third attacking return in as many games with an assist for Torreira’s goal in gameweek three. Only Aguero, Barnes (both four) and Pukki (five) have scored more goals than the Gabonese’s two amongst forwards, and as the Custom Stats table shows, he is ranked sixth for shots with nine. The Gunners are ranked fifth for SoT with 11, which is impressive considering they have already played Liverpool at Anfield. The North London Derby often involves lots of goals and Arsenal have scored eight in their last four meetings at the Emirates. Spurs are one of seven teams yet to keep a clean sheet and have conceded four goals so far. They have allowed 45 shots, the seventh-worst in the league and only Norwich (19) have allowed more SoT (17). They have also conceded six ‘big chances’ with only six teams faring worse. Our Fix Algorithm backs the Gabonese to get attacking returns with a point score of 4.7.


Sébastien Haller (NOR)

West Ham’s record signing got his season up and running with two goals against Watford in gameweek three. The new interactive shot map (below) shows the quality of his chances against the Hornets and no forward registered more SoT in gameweek three than his three and he also registered two ‘big chances’. He has taken five shots in his two appearances at an average of 36 minutes per chance. The Hammers continue to prioritize attack over defence and their total of 16 SoT is beaten only by Liverpool, Norwich (both 18), Chelsea (20) and Man. City (24). They are also ranked third for ‘big chances’ with nine, trailing only Liverpool (10) and Man. City (14). The Canaries have conceded eight goals so far, more than any other team. Their total of 19 SoT conceded is also the worst in the league and only Villa, Watford (both eight), Bournemouth (11) and the Hammers (13) themselves have allowed more ‘big chances’ than their seven. Our Fix Algorithm predicts a point score of 4.2 for Haller.


Fantasy Football Fix