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28 March

GW32 Top Three Captaincy Picks

By Fantasy Football Fix ()

Caveat : The Captaincy picks are in the below format -

  • Number one pick predicted as per the Fix Algorithm
  • Differential pick (Under 25% ownership)
  • 'Out there' pick (Under 15% ownership)

Sergio Agüero (ful, CAR)

After his exploits for the Champions last double gameweek, Agüero is the standout captain pick for this week’s blog. The Argentinian has scored four goals in the last six gameweeks and only Vardy has scored more with five. He has taken 17 goal attempts, third-highest amongst forwards and only Lukaku and Rondón (both nine) have managed more shots on target (SoT) than his eight. And it is only the Belgian who has beaten Agüero for ‘big chances’ with eight to six. Man. City have scored 11 goals in the last six gameweeks, creating a chance every 4.9 minutes, with only Arsenal (12) and Liverpool (14) faring better. It is worth mentioning that the Cityzens have played only four matches in this time versus five for Arsenal and six for Liverpool. Their first double gameweek opponents Fulham have conceded 15 goals in the last six gameweeks and conceded 39 SoT, bottom of the league for both metrics. Their midweek opponents Cardiff have conceded 11 in the same period, allowing opponents 25 SoT. Our Fix Algorithm fancies Agüero to find the back of the net over the two matches with a projected score of 16.1.

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Raheem Sterling (ful, CAR)

An explosive differential captain option, Sterling has scored five goals in the last six gameweeks, trailing only Mané (six) amongst midfielders. The English winger has taken 13 shots, 10 of which were shots in the box (SiB) and only Salah (13) Mané (13) and H. Barnes (14) have fired more attempts in the oppositions’ penalty area. Man. City have landed 30 SoT over this period, trailing Newcastle (31), Leicester (31) and Liverpool (34), but they have played two less league games than the teams mentioned. The Cityzens have crafted just one fewer ‘big chance’ than Liverpool’s 21, which is impressive when you consider they have played fewer games. Their opponents Fulham have allowed opponents 104 shots, 73 SiB and 39 SoT, the worst in the league across all stats. The Cottagers have also conceded 13 ‘big chances’ - it could be a blood bath. Cardiff have been even more generous, allowing opponents 14 ‘big chances’, with only four teams faring worse. Our Fix Algorithm backs Sterling to get attacking returns with a point score of 11.0. 

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Harry Kane (liv, CRY)

Kane has been in fine form since his return from injury, scoring three goals in his last six gameweeks. He has fired 16 shots at goal with only Agüero (17), Higuain (22) and Rondón (22) faring better amongst forwards. As the Custom Stats table shows, he has landed six SoT, with only five forwards managing more, and was afforded five ‘big chances’ over that same period. While Spurs have only managed five goals in that same period, they have been a tad unfortunate as they have hit the woodwork twice. They have created a chance every 7.3 minutes and have landed 19 SoT. Their first double gameweek fixture is not easy, Liverpool have conceded only three goals in their last six matches, keeping four clean sheets. However, they have shown signs of vulnerability, as shot shy Burnley managed to score two goals on their recent visit to Anfield. Their second fixture against Palace is their first game at the new stadium, an occasion that Kane will no doubt be fired up for. The Eagles have conceded eight goals in the last six gameweeks, keeping no clean sheets. Our Fix Algorithmprojects a point score of 10.0 for the Englishman.

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