Headliner - Mohamed Salah (ful)
Salah was unfortunate to only come away wit just an assist in the win over Burnley, having played a big hand in three of the four goals, while producing five goal attempts and three attempted assists. It is just one goal and one assist in the last seven gameweeks now for the Egypt international but as the Custom Stats table shows, he ranks first amongst midfielders for total goal attempts (25) and efforts on target (SoT) (10) during that time. The form of Mané is a huge talking point ahead of Liverpool's visit to Craven Cottage but interestingly, in their last four away matches, Salah has fired 10 goal attempts to Mané's three, with the Egyptian also bettering his teammate for SoT (six to two), 'big chances' (three to one) and attempted assists (four to two). Liverpool have scored 13 goals in the last six gameweeks, with only Man. City (16) scoring more. The Reds are also second for SoT (34) and ‘big chances’ (19), trailing only the Champions in both metrics. The Fulham defence continues to be porous, conceding 15 goals in their last six games, the worst in the league. They are also bottom of the table for shots conceded (105), SiB conceded (75) and SoT conceded (39). Our Fix Algorithmbacks the Egyptian to get attacking returns with a point score of 7.4.
Callum Wilson (NEW)
Wilson made his long-awaited return from injury during Bournemouth’s win over Huddersfield, bagging a goal and assist to take his total up to 20 Fantasy Premier League (FPL) involvements from 22 appearances this season. The 27-year-old has found the majority of his returns against teams outside of the ‘top six’, producing nine goals and nine assists across those 16 matches, at an average of 6.5 points per game. As the Custom Stats table shows, between gameweeks 1 and 21 (prior to injury), Wilson ranked joint-first amongst forwards with his 18 'big chances', matched by only Kane and Aubameyang, while Salah (19) was the only player to record more, across all positions. The Cherries have been particularly prolific at the Vitality Stadium, scoring 26 goals over 15 matches, the sixth highest in the league. Only four teams created more ‘big chances’ on home turf than the Cherries’ 39. Newcastle have conceded six goals in their last four away matches, keeping no clean sheets. The Magpies have allowed opponents 63 shots and 18 SoT, and only four teams allowed more ‘big chances’ than their 14. Our Fix Algorithm projects a point score of 3.8 for the Englishman.
Jamie Vardy (bur)
Gameweek 30 saw Vardy directly contribute to all three Leicester goals during a win over Fulham (two goals, one assist) and no forward has returned more than his 36 FPL points across the last five gameweeks; an average of 7.2 per game. The 32-year-old has found the back of the net five times over that period, a total matched only by Sterling and Mané, with no player scoring more than the trio. As the Custom Stats table shows, his six SoTs in that time ranks joint-fourth amongst forwards, bettered by only Agüero, Rondón (eight) and Lukaku (nine). The Foxes have scored eight goals in the last six gameweeks, and are top for shots over that period with 115. They trail only Man. City (77) for SiB with 65. Their total of 33 SoT can only be beaten by Liverpool (34) and Man. City (46). Their hosts Burnley have conceded 12 goals in their last six league matches while only Fulham have let in more with 15. Burnley are fifth-worst for shots conceded with 89 and have conceded an average of two ‘big chances’ a game over that period. Our Fix Algorithm projects a point score of 4.5 for the pacy striker.
Ryan Fraser (NEW)
After being directly involved in both goals (one goal, one assist) during Bournemouth’s 2-0 win over Huddersfield last weekend Fraser has now amassed a total of six goals and 10 assists this season, with each of his goal involvements coming against teams outside of the ‘top six’. He has returned a total of 117 points across 19 matches against those sides, at an average of 6.2 points per game. 18 'big chances' created by the Scotland international this season is five more than any other player has managed, while only Hazard (74) and Maddison (80) have produced more than his 67 attempted assists. Bournemouth have scored four goals in the last four gameweeks, landing 12 SoT and it is worth mentioning that they played Wolves, Arsenal and Man. City over this period. The Cherries should therefore find plenty more opportunities against favourable opponent's Newcastle. Our Fix Algorithm projects only a 28% chance of a Newcastle clean sheet and a point score of 4.3 for the diminutive winger.
Andrew Robertson (ful)
Liverpool’s run of four consecutive clean sheets came to end last gameweek, after conceding from each of Burnley’s two efforts on target during a 4-2 win, but the Reds allowed their opponents only one 'big chance'. Five FPL involvements by Robertson in 10 matches this calendar year (gameweek 21-30) ranks top amongst defenders, ahead of Kolasinac, Schlupp and Schär (each with four). Only four defenders have produced more than the left-back’s 14 attempted assists during that period, while his total of four 'big chances' created can only be bettered by Fulham’s Joe Bryan (five). Liverpool have only conceded three goals in the last six gameweeks, keeping four clean sheets. They have allowed opponents only 15 SoT and only Man. City have conceded fewer with nine. Fulham have scored just three goals in the same period, landing a mere 20 SoT and creating a measly 10 ‘big chances’. Our Fix Algorithm projects a 58% chance of a Liverpool clean sheet and a point score of 6.1 for the left-back.