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GW29 Top Five Key Players

Fantasy Football Fix 1 March 2019

Headliner - Paul Pogba (SOU)

Despite losing a number of key players to injury Man. United were able to secure a 3-1 win over Crystal Palace midweek, with Pogba finding his 10th assist of the season. Six Fantasy Premier League (FPL) involvements (four goals, two assists) by the Frenchman over the last six gameweeks ranks joint-top amongst midfielders alongside Mané and Sterling. No midfielder has fired more than Pogba’s 22 goal attempts in that time, while only Mané and H. Barnes (each 16) took more than his 13 shots inside the box (SiB). Over this period, Man. United have attempted 92 shots, with only Man. City (93) and Leicester (104) attempting more. They scored 11 goals , with only five teams scoring more and also landed the third most shots on target (SoT) with 34, beaten only by Man. City and Liverpool who both managed 38. The Saints clean sheet in gameweek 28 was their first in the last six gameweeks, and they allowed 21 SoT across those matches conceding seven goals. Our Fix Algorithm projects a point score of 7.8 for Pogba.

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Gonzalo Higuaín (ful)

Higuaín opened his account for Chelsea with a brace against Huddersfield in gameweek 25 and after facing Man. City and Spurs in the last two league matches the Argentine will be looking to add to his total when Chelsea travel to Craven Cottage this Sunday. As the Custom Stats table shows, the 31-year-old has fired off 13 goal attempts over the last four gameweeks, with only Rondón, A. Barnes (each 14) and Agüero (15) taking more amongst forwards, while producing an average of 5.7 points per game. Six of those efforts came during Chelsea’s last meeting with a team outside of the ‘top six’, with five coming from inside the box. Although Chelsea have only scored seven goals in the last six gameweeks Fulham’s defensive statistics offer reason to believe that the Blues can increase that total. No team conceded more goals than the Cottagers’ 14 across the same period, or allowed more shots (96), SiB (73) and SoT (35). They also conceded 14 ‘big chances’ with only four teams faring worse. Our Fix Algorithm backs Higuain to get attacking returns with a point score of 4.4.

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Raúl Jiménez (CAR)

Jiménez has directly contributed to five of his team’s 12 goals across the last six gameweeks (four goals, one assist), giving him a 42% goal involvement and an average of 6.2 points per game. Lacazette (38) and Agüero (59) are the only forwards to return more FPL points than Jiménez (37) across the same period. As the Custom Stats table shows, the Mexican international ranks joint-first with Agüero for goal attempts (20) during that time amongst forwards, while only Rondón (19) has fired more than his 17 SiB. Wolves record of 12 goals in their last six matches can only be topped by Liverpool (14), Arsenal (14) and Man. City (16). Only four teams have managed more SoT than their 28, and only Man. City created more ‘big chances’ than their 17. Their opponents Cardiff have conceded 14 goals, joint-bottom with Fulham and Leicester, and allowed opponents 29 SoT. They are also fifth-worst for ‘big chances’ conceded with 14. Our Fix Algorithm projects a point score of 5.3 for the Mexican.

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Gerard Deulofeu (LEI) 

The league leaders restricted Watford to just five goal attempts midweek but the Hornets enjoyed an emphatic 5-1 win over Cardiff a few days earlier. Deulofeu was man of the match in that fixture after his hat-trick exploits. Amongst midfielders only Mané (four) has scored more goals during the last four gameweeks, while only Babel, Sterling (each three) and Mané (four) have had more ‘big chances’ than the Spaniard’s two. As the Custom Stats table shows below, the 24-year-old matched Pogba’s total of 31 FPL points during that same period, with only Mané (32) and Mkhitaryan (33) producing more from midfield. Watford have scored seven goals in their last six matches, registering 10 ‘big chances’ and scoring five of them. Leicester have conceded 14 goals over the same period, no team has conceded more and they allowed opponents 12 ‘big chances’ and 29 SoT in these matches. Our Fix Algorithm projects a point score of 4.1 for the attacker.

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Matt Doherty (CAR) 

Gameweek 28 saw Wolves lose their clean sheet in stoppage time to Huddersfield but Doherty showed his usual attacking promise, firing two goal attempts and registering one ‘big chance’. The right wing-back has directly contributed to nine league goals this season (three goals, six assists) while picking up two assists in the last four gameweeks, with only Robertson and Alexander-Arnold (each three) registering more amongst defenders. No defender has had more than his two ‘big chances’ during the same period, matched only by Schlupp, Laporte and van Dijk. Wolves have only conceded seven goals in their last six league matches and only four teams have allowed fewer SoT than their 19. They have conceded only eight ‘big chances’ in these games, with only Liverpool (six) and Man. City (five) conceding fewer. Their opponents Cardiff have managed only 36 SiB over the same period, while only Watford (32) and Huddersfield (31) have faired worse. They have scored six goals in these matches and only West Ham (five), Brighton (five) and Huddersfield (two) have scored fewer. They are also third-bottom for ‘big chances’ created with eight. Our Fix Algorithm projects a 43% chance of a Wolves’ clean sheet and a point score of 5.7 for Doherty. 

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