Salah found little joy against a resilient Man. Utd defence in gameweek 27 but he has returned nine goals and three assists in 10 home matches against teams outside of the ‘top six’ this season, producing an average of 8.7 points per game. Four goals in the last six gameweeks ranks the Egypt international joint top amongst midfielders, alongside Pogba and Mané. As the Custom Stats table shows, Pogba (12) is the only midfielder to fire more than the Liverpool talisman’s nine shots on target (SoT) during that period, while only Jota (six) has recorded more than Salah’s five ‘big chances’. Liverpool have scored 13 goals in their last four home games and only Man. City have scored more with 14. They have also landed 31 SoT in those matches, again only beaten by Man. City who managed 34. Their opponents Watford have allowed opponents 68 shots in their last four away matches, the fourth-worst in the league, with only Huddersfied (69), Brighton (71) and West Ham (72) fairing worse. Our Fix Algorithm backs the Egyptian to find the back of the net with a point score of 8.3.
Man. City’s Carabao Cup win over Chelsea went all the way to extra time and penalties but Sané only featured from the bench and could come back into the starting XI midweek if Guardiola decides to freshen up his team. The German has played just 58 minutes across the last three league matches, following a run of four successive starts, where he provided two goals and two assists. As the Custom Stats table shows, no midfielder produced more than his 32 Fantasy Premier League (FPL) points during that period, while only Jota and Moutinho matched his total of four FPL involvements. Man. City have scored 18 goals in their last six matches and are top for SiB (66) and SoT (41) over that period. Their opponents West Ham have conceded eight goals in their last four away matches and no team have allowed opponents more shots than their 72. They have also conceded 49 SiB , with only Huddersfield (52) and Fulham (54) conceding more. Our Fix Algorithm predicts a point score of 6.4 for Sane.
After being rested for Arsenal’s 2-0 win over Southampton, making a 15-minute cameo only, Aubameyang looks certain for a recall to the starting-lineup midweek, when Bournemouth travel to the Emirates. He boasts an impressive record against teams outside of the ‘top six’ this season, returning 13 goals and five assists from 18 matches, averaging 6.7 points per game. As the Custom Stats table shows, the Gabonese forward directly contributed to seven goals (five goals, two assists) in his last eight league starts and his total of 19 SiB was fourth-best amongst forwards, behind only Mitrovic (22), Barnes (23) and Rashford (25). Salah (nine) and Barnes (11) are the only two who have bettered his total of eight ‘big chances’ over that period. Arsenal have scored 14 goals in their last six home matches, only Man. United (15), Man. City (19) and Liverpool (20) have scored more. While only Palace (69) and Liverpool (74) have attempted more SiB than the Gunners’ 64. Bournemouth have conceded 18 goals in their last six away matches, more than any other team. They are also bottom for ‘big chances’ conceded with 22. Our Fix Algorithm predicts a point score of 5.3 for Aubameyang.
After rescuing his side a point from the penalty spot against Bournemouth, Jiménez has provided a total of 17 FPL involvements (10 goals, seven assists) this season, including four goals in the last four gameweeks. As the Custom Stats table shows, the Mexican international ranks joint-top amongst forwards with his tally of 14 SiB during that period, on par with Rondon, while only Agüero (seven) has scored more goals. Barnes (six) and Agüero (eight) were the only forwards involved in more ‘big chances’ than Jiménez in that time, while only King created more ‘big chances’ (four to two). Wolves have scored 12 goals in their last six matches, the second highest in the league behind only Man. City who have 18. They fired 28 SoT in these matches and only five teams have landed more. Their opponents Huddersfield have conceded 13 goals in the same period, with only Fulham (14) and Leicester (15) conceding more. Only Fulham (71) conceded more SiB than the Terriers 65, and they are bottom for ‘big chances’ conceded (15) and SoT conceded (32). Our Fix Algorithm predicts a point score of 4.3 for the Mexican.
Robertson has now cemented his place as this season’s current top-scoring defender as Liverpool kept their 15th clean sheet of the season in the goalless draw at Old Trafford. He’s returned 67 points in nine home matches against teams outside of the ‘top six’ this season, at an average of 7.4 per game. No defender has recorded more than the left-back’s total of seven assists, matched only by Alonso and Holebas, while only Trippier (36) and Digne (45) have produced more than his 32 attempted assists. A tally of nine ‘big chances’ created by the Scotland international ranks joint-seventh best across all positions, with Digne (11) being the only defender to provide more. Liverpool have conceded only six goals in their last six home matches, keeping two clean sheets. They only conceded 13 SoT in these matches, at an average of two per game, the lowest in the league. The Reds have also conceded the second fewest ‘big chances’, with six. Watford have managed only 18 SoT in their last six away matches (which includes the rout away to Cardiff), the fourth-lowest in the league. Our Fix Algorithm predicts a 54% chance of a Robertson clean sheet and a point score of 5.6 for the Scot.
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