Headliner - Mohamed Salah (BOU)
The last two gameweeks have seen Liverpool drop points to West Ham and Leicester, with Salah unable to find a goal despite a total of six attempts, three of which were shots on target (SoT). But, as the Fix Heatmaps feature shows, the Egypt international has been directly involved in six goals (four goals, two assists) across the last four home matches averaging 10.3 points per game in that time, he has also managed five SoTs from his eight shots. Only Pogba (six) scored more than Salah’s four goals, while only Jota (six) and Aubameyang (seven) were involved in more than his five 'big chances'. Liverpool have scored 32 goals in their 12 home matches, only Man. City have scored more with 43 having played a game more. They have fired 76 SoT, with only Chelsea (82) , United (92) and Man. City (103) landing more on home turf. Their opponents Bournemouth have conceded 11 goals in their last six matches, with only Fulham and Huddersfield (12 each) more porous. They also rank fifth worst for ‘big chances’ conceded, with 15. Our Fix Algorithm predicts a point score of 8.5 for the Egyptian.
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (hud)
Aubameyang boasts an impressive record against teams outside of the ‘top six’ this season, scoring 13 goals and five assists from 17 matches and averaging 7.6 points per game. As the Custom Stats tableshows, the 29-year-old directly contributed to seven goals (five goals, two assists) in the last eight gameweeks and his total of 19 shots inside the box (SiB) was fourth best amongst forwards, behind only Mitrovic (22), Barnes (23) and Rashford (25). A total of eight "big chances" for the Gabonese forward in that time was bettered by only Salah (nine) and Barnes (11). Arsenal have scored 10 goals in their last six matches, with 23 SoT. They’ve scored 23 goals on their travels, the fifth highest in the league. The Terriers have conceded 12 goals in their last six matches, joint-bottom with Fulham. They allowed opponents 17 ‘big chances’ with only Watford (18) and Fulham (19) doing worse. Our Fix Algorithm predicts a point score of 5.5 for the Gabonese.
Marcus Rashford (ful)
Rashford’s scintillating form under Solksjaer continued last Sunday, with the Englishman scoring the match-winning goal against Leicester, firing a total of five goal attempts, with three on target. Since the change in management, the forward has bagged six goals and two assists in eight gameweeks and no player has taken more than his 25 SiB or his 19 efforts on target during that period. Only Agüero, Aubameyang (8), Salah (9) and Barnes (11) registered more than Rashford’s 7 big chances in that time. Since the change of manager , no team has scored more goals than Man. United’s 20 and the Reds also lead the league for SoT in that period with 62. Only Man. City (27) have fashioned more ‘big chances’ than their 24, although they have played a game more. Their opponents Fulham have conceded 23 goals in their 12 home matches, the worst defensive record in the league. This is no surprise since they have also allowed the most SoT on home turf, with 67. Our Fix Algorithm predicts a point score of 4.8 for Rashford.
Anthony Martial (ful)
Martial recovered from a knock to feature against Leicester last weekend and looks set for a recall to the starting XI for gameweek 26, after Sanchez failed to impress. As the Custom Stats table shows, the Frenchman has been a regular starter when available and from gameweek seven onwards he has registered eight goals and two assists, with Son (10) and Salah (13) the only midfielders to score more goals. The 23-year-old has amassed a total of 25 attempted assists in that time which is only narrowly beaten by Pogba’s 26, amongst teammates. Over the last six gameweeks the Red Devils have scored 12 goals which is the fourth highest in the league, and no team have landed more SoT than their 43. In contrast, their opponents Fulham have conceded 12 goals in their last six matches, joint-bottom with Huddersfield. They are also bottom for ‘big chances’ conceded with 19 and have allowed opponents 31 SoT, with only Arsenal and West Ham (both 32) allowing more. Our Fix Algorithm predicts a point score of 5.4 for the Frenchman.
Sead Kolasinac (hud)
Gameweek 26 sees Arsenal travel to Huddersfield, with Kolasinac having notched five assists in eight league matches against teams outside of the ‘top six’ this season, returning an average of 5.1 points per game.Since gameweek 11, no defender has provided more assists than the Bosnian (five), while only Digne (28) has amassed more than his 22 attempted assists.The 25-year-old has created seven big chances in the same period; only Digne, Sané and Salah (all eight) have produced more, across all positions. Although Arsenal have yet to keep a clean sheet on their travels this season, Huddersfield’s attacking numbers at home offer plenty of cause for optimism. No team has scored fewer goals on their own patch than the Terriers’ five in 13 matches. They are also bottom for shots in the box at home, and only Brighton (35) have landed fewer SoT than their 37. Our Fix Algorithm predicts a 49% chance of an Arsenal clean sheet and a point score of 4.9 for Kolasinac.