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18 Dec.

GW18 Top Three Captaincy Picks

By Fantasy Football Fix ()

Caveat - Picks are in below format

  1. No.1 predicted by Fix
  2. Alternative high-ownership option. Over 20%
  3. Differential option. Under 20%

Heung-Min Son (CHE)

Spurs host Chelsea in a London Derby that sees the Blues’ old boss Mourinho go up against one of his former teams once again. Son has been on fire since the Portuguese took charge and as the Match Statistics feature shows, in the last five matches Son has notched two goals and four assists. His expected goals (xG) of 1.5 trails only Alli (2.2) and Moura (2.4) amongst Spurs players and only Kane (six) and Alli (seven) have landed more shots on target (SoT) than his five. He has become Spurs’ creative hub with 11 attempted assists, more than any teammate. Spurs have scored 32 goals this season, only Leicester (40), Liverpool (42) and Man. City (47) have scored more. Only eight teams have landed more SoT than their 76. Chelsea’s defence has been poor on the road this season, conceding 17 goals and keeping no clean sheets. Only Everton (18), Watford (19) and Villa (19) have conceded more on their travels. They have allowed opponents 35 SoT and 17 ‘big chances’ over those eight matches. Our Fix Algorithm projects a point score of 5.4 for the Korean.

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Kevin De Bruyne (LEI)

The top scorer in gameweek 17 with 19 points, De Bruyne looks to be thriving in a more advanced role in the absence of D. Silva. Only Mané, Salah and Sterling (nine) have scored more goals amongst midfielders than the Belgian’s six this season. He is also third for shots (48), trailing only Sterling (50) and Salah (54). His creative numbers are second to none, he leads the league for attempted assists (62) and ‘big chances’ created (15). As per our FPL Statistics feature, he is owned by nearly 60% of the top 1000 and is the most popular transfer in this week as per the Transfer Stats feature. Man. City top all the attacking metrics – goals (47), shots (351), SoT (118) and ‘big chances’ (68). Their opponents Leicester have been solid defensively this season conceding just 11 goals, the lowest in the league. Only Liverpool (47) have allowed opponents fewer SoT than their 48. However, this is a huge game for Man. City to catch up to Leicester in the points table, so the defending Champions are likely to go all out for the win. Our Fix Algorithm projects a point score of 4.9 for De Bruyne.

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Raul Jiménez (nor)

Wolves were unlucky to lose against Spurs in gameweek 18 but there are plenty of reasons to be optimistic about their prospects against the Canaries. With six goals this season, Jiménez (54) trails only Rashford (57) for shots amongst forwards and is ranked sixth for SoT with 20. However, the creativity numbers are where the Mexican really shines. As the Stats Sandbox graph shows, no forward has attempted more assists (29) or created more ‘big chances’ (10) than Jiménez. Wolves have scored 24 goals, only six teams have been more prolific. They are also ranked ninth for ‘big chances’ (70). Norwich have conceded 35 goals this season, only Southampton (36) have been more porous. No team has allowed opponents more SoT than their 101 and only West Ham (55) have conceded more ‘big chances’ than their 43. Our Fix Algorithm projects a point score of 5.3 for Jiménez. 

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