Headliner - Mohamed Salah (BHA)
Salah was unused sub for the win over Palace but is expected to return for Brighton’s visit to Anfield, where the Egyptian boasts an impressive record. He’s scored six goals in six home matches this season, ranking top amongst Liverpool players for total shots (25), shots on target (SoT) (13) and expected goals (xG) (4.59) at Anfield. The 27-year-old was afforded eight 'big chances' during those matches, compared to six for Mané and three for Firmino, with Rashford (nine) and Abraham (12) the only players to fare better in that respect, at home. Liverpool have scored 12 goals in the last six gameweeks, only Chelsea (14) and Leicester (18) have scored more. They are third for ‘big chances’ (18) with only Leicester (20) and Man. City (22) crafting more. Their 40 SoT is the joint-highest in the league across this period as well. Brighton have conceded nine goals in the last six matches, keeping just two clean sheets. They allowed opponents 37 SoT, only Norwich (39) and West Ham (43) fared worse. They are also fourth-worst for ‘big chances’ conceded (18) with only Norwich (20), West Ham (21) and Southampton (23) more obliging. You can use the Fix Assistant Manager feature to work out how to fit the Egyptian in your team and our Fix Algorithm projects a point score of 7.0 for Salah.
Harry Kane (BOU)
Spurs have made a bright start under Mourinho, earning back-to-back wins against West Ham and Olympiacos and scoring seven goals in the process. Kane was responsible for three of those goals, with no teammate firing more than his six shots across the two games. As the Stats Sandbox shows, in the Premier League this season, he ranks top amongst Spurs players for goals (seven), shots inside the box (SiB) (22) and 'big chances' (seven). The 26-year-old boasts an impressive record against Bournemouth, netting seven goals in six league appearances against the side. Only Chelsea (28), Liverpool (30), Leicester (31) and Man. City (37) have scored more goals than Spurs’ 21 this season and they are ninth for shots with 164. Bournemouth have conceded 17 goals this season, keeping just three clean sheets. Only Arsenal (219), Norwich (227) and Villa (240) have conceded more shots than Bournemouth’s 199. Our Fix Algorithm projects a point score of 6.1 for the Spurs frontman.
Anthony Martial (AVL)
Martial set up two goals in his last outing at Old Trafford, in a 3-1 win over Brighton, where he produced three efforts at goal and four attempts assists. Amongst midfielders, in the last four gameweeks, the Frenchman ranks joint-top with a total of four 'big chances', matching Mané, while only Salah (eight) and Pulisic (10) fired more than his seven SoT. Only A. Barnes (3.69), Rashford (4.29) and Vardy (4.43) could better his 2.46 xG during that period, across all positions. As our Fix Heatmaps feature shows, he averages 5.8 points per game in the home matches he started. Man. Utd have scored 10 goals in the last six gameweeks and are ranked fifth for SoT (36) and seventh for ‘big chances’ (17). Villa have conceded nine goals in the same timeframe keeping just one clean sheet. No team has allowed opponents more shots than Villa’s 120 over those matches and they are also fifth worst for SoT conceded (35). Our Fix Algorithm projects a point score of 5.1 for Martial.
Danny Ings (WAT)
Southampton’s 2-2 draw with Arsenal saw Ings continue his recent form to net his sixth goal of the season, from a total of three goal attempts, with two falling inside the box. The Saints forward now has five goals in the last seven gameweeks, only failing to score against Leicester and Man City in that time. He ranks third for xG (4.1) during that period, only behind Rashford and Vardy (each 5.2), while only Jiménez, Rashford (each 10), Abraham (11) and Vardy (15) have fired more than his nine SoT, amongst forwards. Saints have scored six goals in the last six gameweeks and their 21 SoT is the same number as Arsenal and just one fewer than Spurs (22). Their opponents Watford have conceded six goals in the same period, keeping three clean sheets. However, their 30 SoT conceded is the ninth worst in the league and they also afforded opponents 11 ‘big chances’. Saints have the best fixtures for the next six weeks as per our Fixture analyzer so it's a great time to bring Ings in and our Fix Algorithm projects a point score of 4.8 for the Saints frontman.
Andy Robertson (BHA)
Robertson found his sixth attacking return of the season in gameweek 13, setting up Mané as Liverpool earned a hard-fought win at Selhurst Park. The Scotland international has amassed one goal and three assists over the last five gameweeks, to return an average of 6.0 points per game. He ranks fourth amongst defenders with a tally of nine attempted assists during that time, while no player, across all positions, created more 'big chances' than his four. The Scot is one of the most popular defensive transfers this week and could possibly rise before the deadline as per our Price Change Predictor feature. Although Liverpool have not kept a clean sheet in their last six matches, they have conceded only six goals and only Chelsea (15) allowed opponents fewer SoT than their 18. They conceded eight ‘big chances’, with only Everton (seven) and Wolves (six) conceding fewer. Brighton have scored 10 goals in their last six games but are only 12th for ‘big chances’ with 11. Our Fix Algorithm projects a 60% chance of a Liverpool clean sheet and a point score of 6.1 for Robertson.