Caveat - Picks are in below format
- No.1 predicted by Fix
- Alternative high-ownership option. Over 20%
- Differential option. Under 20%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (SOU)
Aubameyang headlines the captain picks this week as the Gunners look to bounce back after their defeat at the hands of Leicester in gameweek 12. The Gabonese international has scored four goals in six home matches this season, only Pukki, Rashford, Aguero (all five) and Vardy (six) have scored more amongst forwards. He is also ranked seventh for ‘big chances’ with five, and fifth for shots on target (SoT) with eight. Arsenal have scored 11 goals in their six home matches this season, only Leicester (14), Liverpool (17) and Man. City (19) have managed more. They are also ranked third for SoT in home matches with 35, and only Man. City (42) and Liverpool (47) have tested the opposition keeper more frequently. No team has conceded more goals than Southampton (29) this season and only Newcastle (125), Norwich (138) and Villa (151) have allowed opponents more shots in the box (SiB) than their 124. Our Fix Algorithm projects Aubameyang to be the top captain pick this week with a point score of 6.6.
Raheem Sterling (CHE)
After making headlines for the wrong reasons over the international break, Sterling should be raring to go for the visit of Chelsea at the Eithad in gameweek 13 and with the suspension to B. Silva he should be absolutely nailed to start. Only Salah and Aguero (both 40) have taken more shots than Sterling’s 38 this season and only Abraham (16) has been afforded more ‘big chances’ than his 13. He also only trails Salah (6.65) for expected goals (xG) amongst midfielders with 5.75. As the Stats Sandbox Team stats show, despite sitting fourth in the table, Man. City lead the league for goals (35), shots (258), SoT (86), ‘big chances’ (55) and xG (32.40). Chelsea are yet to keep a clean sheet on their travels this season and have conceded 12 goals in six matches. Only Watford, Villa (both 13) and Newcastle (14) have conceded more. They are ranked 11th for ‘big chances’ conceded with 13. Our Fix Algorithm projects a point score of 5.9 for Sterling.
Richarlison de Andrade (NOR)
Norwich sit at the bottom of the table after a promising start to the season and their visit to Goodison Park presents the perfect opportunity to take a punt on Everton’s Brazilian winger. As the Stats Sandbox shows, he is the Toffees’ leading scorer with three goals. He also leads the way for shots (32) and SoT (10) amongst their players and trails only Calvert-Lewin (3.31) for xG (2.70). He has also created 11 chances, which can only be topped by Sigurdsson (25) and Digne (31). The Toffees have struggled for goals this season, managing only 13 in 12 games but it is worth noting that eight of these came at Goodison Park. In fact, they are ranked ninth for SiB during home matches with 54 and seventh for ‘big chances’ (13). Only Southampton (29) have conceded more goals than Norwich’s 28 this season and no team have allowed opponents more SoT than their 75. They are also second-worst for ‘big chances’ conceded with 38, only trailing West Ham (39). Our Fix Algorithm projects a point score of 5.4 for the Brazilian.