Caveat - Picks are in below format
- No.1 predicted by Fix
- Alternative high-ownership option. Over 20%
- Differential option. Under 20%
Raheem Sterling (AVL)
Man. City got back to winning ways with an impressive display at Palace in gameweek nine and with Liverpool dropping points, they will be looking to keep the pressure on the Merseyside outfit with a win against Villa. No midfielder has taken more shots in the box (SiB) than Sterling’s 26 this season and only McGinn (12) has landed more shots on target (SoT) than his 11. He also leads the way for ‘big chances’ amongst midfielders with 11. No team has taken more shots (189) or landed more SoT (70) than the defending Champions’ and they also lead the way for ‘big chances’ (43). Their opponents Villa have allowed more shots (162) than any team in the league and only Norwich (103) have allowed opponents more SiB than their 100. Our Fix Algorithm predicts a point score of 7.3 for Sterling.
Sadio Mane (TOT)
Mane was unfortunate to see his goal ruled out for handball against Man. United but the league leaders cannot afford any more slip-ups as they host Spurs at Anfield in gameweek 10. As the Stats Sandbox shows, only Sterling, Salah (both 11) and McGinn (12) have landed more SoT than Mane’s 10 amongst midfielders and he is also third for ‘big chances’ with eight, trailing only Sterling (11) and Salah (nine). He has also attempted 16 assists, the same number as Salah. Only Man. City (29) have scored more goals than Liverpool’s 21 and the Reds are also third for ‘big chances’ (30) and SoT (53). Spurs have already conceded 13 goals this season, keeping only one clean sheet and only Norwich (57) have allowed opponents more SoT than their 52. Our Fix Algorithm projects a point score of 4.9 for the Senegalese.
Jamie Vardy (sou)
Vardy scored his sixth goal of the season and the Leicester frontman now sits on 54 FPL points, with only seven players bettering that total. Statistically his numbers are unimpressive, with only 13 SiB and 8 SoT but he has the highest goal conversion rate (40%) of any forward in the league to have played at least 200 minutes. He is ranked sixth amongst forwards for ‘big chances’ with seven and as the Interactive shot map below shows, his shots are from good positions. Only Chelsea (19), Liverpool (21) and Man. City (29) have scored more goals than the Foxes’ 16 which is impressive considering they have already played Chelsea, Man. United, Tottenham and Liverpool. Only Watford and Norwich (both 21) have conceded more goals than the Saints’ 16 and only four teams have afforded opponents more ‘big chances’ than their 20. Our Fix Algorithm projects a point score of 5.0 for Vardy.