
There’s a number that matters more than ownership: effective ownership. Effective ownership counts captaincy double, and once a player exceeds 100%, the maths turns nasty. If he hauls and you don’t own or captain him, your rank can suffer heavily.
Our machine learning model has projected Gameweek 1 ownership, captaincy and effective ownership among managers who finished inside last season’s top 100k. Our chip data also predicts that around 26% will Bench Boost in Gameweek 1, turning cheap bench options into live points.
Two players exceed 100% effective ownership and a third is not far behind. Elsewhere, a £5.0m defender has nearly triple his overall ownership, a budget goalkeeper is heavily backed and two Arsenal picks sit near the bottom.
The table below reveals the top 20 most-owned FPL players among last season’s Top 100k managers, followed by their projected FPL Gameweek 1 effective ownership.
| Name | £m | Pos | Club | Own % | 100k Own % | Capt % | 100k EO % |
| Haaland | 15.5 | FWD | MCI | 69.3 | 76.3 | 56.2 | 132.4 |
| B.Fernandes | 12.0 | MID | MUN | 50.3 | 83.2 | 32.4 | 115.6 |
| João Pedro | 7.5 | FWD | CHE | 62.3 | 85.3 | 3.3 | 88.6 |
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