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Unexpected Goals from FantasyBet

Fantasy Football Fix 20 Sept. 2019

Unexpected Goals returns after a tumultuous Gameweek 5. Who were the luckiest FPL returners over the weekend? The guys at FantasyBet.com take a look.

The luckiest goalscorer in Gameweek 5

“Lucky” feels like the wrong word to describe the winner of this week’s prestigious accolade.  Chelsea’s burgeoning young centre back, Fikayo Tomori, gave Rui Patricio no chance with his incredible long range effort. Have you seen it yet? It’s worth Googling. It was his only sniff at goal, giving the Canadian an xG for the match of just 0.01. 

He’s forced to share his title with another goalscoring defender from that game: Romain Saiss. Saiss’ goal couldn’t have been more different from his opponents’ - a clambering header from a corner - but it still registers as 0.01 on the underlying stat Richter scale. This one isn’t nearly as Google-worthy.

Honourable mentions go to Newcastle’s Jetro Willems, Norwich’s Kenny McClean and Burnley’s Jeff Hendrick: all of whom bagged goals off the back of less than 0.05xG each. 

The luckiest assists in Gameweek 5

There are always a few players each Gameweek who manage to bag an FPL assist through no fault of their own.

This Gameweek is no exception. There are actually two Wolves players that have snatched it in Gameweek 5, including - you guessed it - Romain Saiss. He becomes our first ever player to win both the luckiest goalscorer and the luckiest assister. I’m sure he’s absolutely made up.

He’s joined by his colleague Matt Doherty. Remember Matt Doherty? He doesn’t do an awful lot these days, but he forced Tammy Abraham into scoring an own goal - a contribution that didn’t even nudge the xA needle. Both Doherty and Saiss had an xA of 0.00.

The unluckiest FPL players in Gameweek 5

Unfortunately for other Premier League players, the selfish Romain Saiss used up all of Gameweek 5’s allocation of luck.

Using Fix’s xFPL tool, we’re now able to calculate precisely how angry we should be after each Gameweek. This week, any manager who owned Trent Alexander-Arnold can feel rightly aggrieved. After such a fortuitous assist last week, the right back registered an xFPL of 8.93 against Newcastle and yet only came away with 2 points: the highest disparity of any player in Gameweek 5.

FantasyBet user ClarkeH96 can feel particularly hard done by. He finished joint top of their £2,500.00 Grand Weekend contest, but had to split the £880.00 prize with another manager. Had Alexander-Arnold managed to score just 1 extra point, he would’ve taken the lot.

If you can convince Romain Saiss to share some of his good fortune, you should consider entering FantasyBet’s Grand Weekend contest ahead of Gameweek 6. It’s £5.50 entry, and you can win a share of £2,500.00 plus all fix user's receive three months FREE Premium fix subscription just for entering. Bonus.

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