With Mitrović currently a doubt for the weekend, his potential replacements are analysed in this blog using the Fix Comparison Matrix.
Solanke registered an eight-point return in gameweek 10 but in terms of underlying numbers, his 0.7 shots on target (SoT) per game and zero 'big chances' is off-putting. However, he is the cheapest option in the comparison and that might allow upgrades elsewhere. As the below image from our Fixture Analyser shows, Bournemouth are fourth for Fixture Difficulty for the next six gameweeks so he is still a good option with no imminent risk of rotation.
Welbeck has yet to find the back of the net this season but has decent statistics and is playing in a more direct role under De Zerbi. He averages 2.0 shots per game and tops the comparison for attempted assists (1.4). His 0.4 'big chances' per game is also healthy, and this number should only go up with De Zerbi's attacking philosophy. The fixtures are mixed for the Seagulls, they play Brentford and Forest in the next two but play Man. City and Chelsea after that.
C. Wilson has notched a goal and assist in his two appearances back from injury and he averages a healthy 5.0 FPL points per game this season. He tops the comparison for shots (2.8), SoT (1.0) and 'big chances' (1.4) and Newcastle are scoring loads of goals. The immediate fixtures are not great, they play Man. Utd away and Spurs away in two of the next three but have home games against Everton and Villa either side of those.
Scamacca looks to have found his feet in the Premier League after a goal in each of his last two starts. His underlying numbers are distorted due to four sub appearances and over the last two gameweeks he is top amongst forwards for 'big chances' (three), while only Wilson (12.96) and Haaland (17.49) have a higher xFPL score than the Italian international (12.94). As the below image shows, the Hammers are ranked sixth on our Fixture Analyser and have some decent games against Southampton, Bournemouth and Leicester which look great for points.
Toney tops the comparison for FPL points per game (5.9), goals (0.7) and shots (2.8) and is guaranteed 90 minutes every week unless he gets injured, which is a huge plus considering the upcoming midweek schedule in gameweek 12. As the below image from our Stats Sandbox feature shows, Brentford (24) trail only Man. City (38) and Arsenal (25) for 'big chances' so Toney should keep getting plenty of opportunities to find the back of the net.
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