Caveat - This blog was written prior to the Brighton vs Man. Utd game on 04/05/2023

Headliner - Erling Haaland (LEE)

Haaland's two goals in gameweek 34 made it seven goals over the last six gameweeks for the Norwegian international, only C. Wilson (eight) has managed more amongst forwards over that period. No forward has landed more shots on target (SoT) (12), been afforded more 'big chances' (BC) or registered a higher 'Expected Goals' tally (xG) (5.09). He has scored 22 goals at home this season and averages 9.9 points per game as shown in the below image from our Fix Heatmaps feature. Man. City have scored 20 goals over the last six gameweeks with only Newcastle (22) more prolific. Meanwhile, only Brighton (50) have landed more SoT than their 45. Their visitors Leeds have the worst defensive record in the divison over the same period with 23 goals conceded. They are also bottom for 'Expected Goals conceded' (xGC) (15.25). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 9.3 for Haaland.

Mohamed Salah (BRE)

Salah has found the back of the net seven times over the last six gameweeks with no midfielder more prolific. As the Stats Sandbox image below shows, the Egyptian international is also top amongst midfielders for shots in the box (SiB) (26), BC (nine) and xG (6.37) over that period. Liverpool have scored 19 goals over the last six gameweeks with only Man. City (20) and Newcastle (22) faring better. Meanwhile, only Newcastle (16.70) have registered a higher xG (15.96) than the Merseyside outfit. Their visitors Brentford have conceded 10 goals over the same period and have kept just one clean sheet. Only Forest, Bournemouth (108 each), West Ham (120) and Leicester (130) have allowed opponents more shots than the London side (107). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 5.8 for Salah.

Marcus Rashford (whu)

Rashford has scored just two goals over the last six gameweeks but his underlying numbers are still impressive. Amongst midfielders, his total of 12 SiB and seven BC is bettered only by Salah (26 and 9) while he is also second for xG (3.14). As the below image from our Price Predictor feature shows, he is expected to go up in price soon. Man. Utd have scored eight goals over the aforementioned period and are ranked fourth for shots (106) and xG (12.31). Their hosts West Ham have conceded 16 goals over the last six gameweeks with only Spurs (17) and Leeds (23) more porous. Meanwhile, only Forest (78) and Leicester (81) have allowed opponents more SiB than their 76. Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 4.5 for Rashford.

Callum Wilson (ARS)

C. Wilson has been in blistering form with a whopping eight goals scored over the last six gameweeks, more than any player across the league over that period. His total of 10 SoT is only bettered by Watkins (11) and Haaland (12) while only Jesus (nine) and Haaland (10) have been afforded more BC than his eight. As the below image from our Transfer Analytics feature shows, he is currently the most transferred-in player this gameweek. Newcastle are top for for goals scored (22) and xG (16.7) over the last six gameweeks with only Brighton (131) taking more shots than their 117. Their visitors Arsenal have conceded 13 goals over the same period and have kept no clean sheets. The Gunners are ranked ninth for SiB conceded (60) and 11th for xGC (10.87). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 2.2 for C. Wilson.

Trent Alexander-Arnold (BRE)

Alexander-Arnold's six assists over the last six gameweeks is top amongst all players and the right-back trails only Trippier (24) for chances created amongst defenders (15). No defender has notched a higher 'Expected Assists' (xA) (3.47) than the 24-year-old. Liverpool have conceded 13 goals over the last six gameweeks and have kept two clean sheets. The Merseyside outfit are ranked 10th for SiB conceded (62) and 13th for xGC (11.52). Their visitors Brentford have scored nine goals over the aforementioned period and are ranked 17th for shots (72) with only Forest (70), Wolves (63) and Southampton (47) faring worse. Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a 40% chance of a Liverpool clean sheet and a point score of 4.6 for Alexander-Arnold.