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GW34 Top Three Captaincy Picks

Fantasy Football Fix 28 April 2023

Caveat - Picks are in the below format

  1. No.1 predicted by Fix 
  2. Alternative high-ownership option. Over 20%
  3. Differential option. Under 20%

Erling Haaland (ful/WHU)

Haaland has scored five goals over the last six gameweeks in just three appearances and over Man. City's last five matches he is top amongst their players for goals (six), 'Expected Goals' (xG) (4.7) and shots on target (SoT) (10). Man. City have scored 15 goals over the last six gameweeks (third) despite playing just four games due to blanks in gameweek 28 and 32. They are ranked seventh for both 'big chances' (BC) (15) and 10th for SoT (29). Their hosts Fulham have conceded just six goals over as many gameweeks but have kept no clean sheets. The Cottagers are ranked fourth for shots conceded (62). Their visitors for the second game West Ham have conceded nine goals over the same period and have kept three clean sheets. The Hammers are ranked 12th for shots conceded (88). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 14.3 for Haaland.

gw34capshaaland

Mohamed Salah (TOT/FUL)

No midfielder has scored more goals than Salah's five over the last six gameweeks and as the Stats Sandbox image below shows, the Egyptian international is also top for shots (21), shots in the box (SiB) (20) and BC (six). Liverpool have scored 14 goals over the last six gameweeks with only Man. City (15), Arsenal (16) and Newcastle (21) more prolific. Only Newcastle (24) have created more BC than their 21 over that period. Their first visitors Spurs have conceded 16 goals over the last six gameweeks with only Leeds (21) more porous. The North London side are ranked 14th for shots conceded (102). Their second visitors Fulham have conceded 21 goals in away matches this season and have kept only five clean sheets on their travels. Meanwhile, only Liverpool (54) have allowed opponents more BC in away matches than the Cottagers (50). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 12.9 for Salah.

gw34capssalah

Solly March (WOL/MUN)

March's notched his fourth assist over the last six gameweeks in gameweek 33, only De Bruyne (five) has registered more amongst midfielders over that period. As the below image from our Match Stats feature shows, his 22 chances created over Brighton's last five matches is a league leading number amongst midfielders while only De Bruyne and Fernandes (six each) have created more BC than his five. He is also top for SoT (eight) amongst Brighton players over that period. Brighton have scored nine goals over the last six gameweeks and are second for shots (109) and top for SoT (41). Their first opponents Wolves have conceded seven goals over the last six gameweeks and have kept three clean sheets. The Midlands side are ranked 11th for shots conceded (80) and ninth for xG conceded (8.22). Their second opponents Man. Utd have conceded 31 goals in 16 away matches this season and have kept just five clean sheets on their travels. Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 9.3 for March.

gw34capsmarch

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