Caveat - This blog was written prior to the games on 27/4/2023

Headliner - Erling Haaland (ful/WHU)

Haaland's goal and two assists against Arsenal made it 241 Fantasy Premier League (FPL) points for the Norwegian international, as the below image from our Match Stats feature shows over Man. City's last five matches he is top amongst their players for goals (six), 'Expected Goals' (xG) (4.7) and shots on target (SoT) (10). Man. City have scored 15 goals over the last six gameweeks despite playing just four games. They are ranked sixth for both 'big chances' (BC) (15) and SoT (29). Their first opponents Fulham have conceded just six goals over as many gameweeks but have kept no clean sheets. The Cottagers are ranked sixth for shots conceded (60). Their second opponents West Ham have conceded nine goals over the same period and have kept three clean sheets. The Hammers are ranked 14th for shots conceded (88). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 14.3 for Haaland.

Mohamed Salah (TOT/FUL)

Salah's total of five goals is top amongst midfielders over the last six gameweeks and as the Stats Sandbox image below shows, the Egyptian international is also top for shots (21), shots in the box (SiB) (20) and BC (six). Liverpool have scored 14 goals over the aforementioned period with only Man. City (15), Arsenal (16) and Newcastle (17) more prolific. No side has created more BC (21) over the last six gameweeks. Their first visitors Spurs have conceded 14 goals over the last six gameweeks with only Leeds (21) more porous. Meanwhile, only Arsenal (19), Forest (22) and Leeds (23) have allowed opponents more BC than their 16. Their second visitors Fulham have conceded 21 goals in away matches this season and have kept only five clean sheets on their travels. Meanwhile, only Liverpool (54) have allowed opponents more BC in away matches than the Cottagers (50). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 12.9 for Salah.

Diogo Jota (TOT/FUL)

Jota's total of four goals over the last six gameweeks can only be bettered by Haaland, Watkins (five each) and Isak (six) amongst forwards. The Portuguese international has taken 10 SiB over that period and is ranked fourth for BC (six) with only Haaland, Jesus (six each) and Watkins (eight) managing more. As the below image from our Transfer Analytics feature shows, he is the third most transferred-in player this week. Liverpool have scored 39 goals in home matches this season with only Jesus, Haaland (seven each) and Watkins (eight) scoring more. Meanwhile, only Man. City (62) have crafted more BC in home matches than the Merseyside ouftit (61). Their visitors Spurs have conceded 31 goals in away matches this season with only Leeds (32), Leicester (36), Forest (39) and Bournemouth (40) more leaky on thei travels. The London side are ranked 15th for SoT conceded in away matches (86). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 6.1 for Jota.

Solly March (WOL/MUN)

March's assist against Forest made it four over the last six gameweeks for the 28-year-old, only De Bruyne (five) has notched more amongst midfielders over that period. No midfielder has created more chances than his 22 while only De Bruyne (six) has created more BC than his five. He is also ranked third for SoT (seven) with only Pereira (eight) and Eze (10) faring better. As the below image from our Fixture Planner shows, Brighton have three doubles over the next five gameweeks so it is a great time to bring in their assets. Brighton have scored nine goals over the last six gameweeks and are top for both shots (109) and SoT (41). Their first opponents Wolves have conceded seven goals over the last six gameweeks and have kept three clean sheets. The Midlands side are ranked 12th for shots conceded (80) and 10th for SoT conceded (26). Their second opponents Man. Utd have conceded 29 goals in 15 away matches this season and have kept just five clean sheets on their travels. Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 9.3 for March.

Trent Alexander-Arnold (TOT/FUL)

Alexander-Arnold continued his fine form with his fifth assist over the last six gameweeks, no defender has managed more. The right-back trails only Trippier (19) for chances created (12) and is top for BC created amongst defenders (five). Liverpool have conceded 10 goals over the last six gameweeks and have kept just one clean sheet. However, the Merseyside outfit are ranked eighth for SiB conceded (48) and ninth for SoT conceded (25). Their first opponents Spurs have scored nine goals over the last six gameweeks and trail only Fulham (17) for SoT (18). Only Wolves, Forest, Southampton (seven each) and Fulham (five) have crafted fewer BC than their eight. Their second opponents Fulham have scored only six goals over the same period with only Man. Utd (five), Everton (four) and Chelsea (three) faring worse. Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 9.3 for Alexander-Arnold.