Headliner – Erling Haaland (ARS)

Haaland has scored 20 goals in home matches this season, no forward can come close with the next best Kane managing only 12. He is top for both shots in the box (SiB) (47) and ‘big chances’ (BC) (23) while only Kane (27) has landed more shots on target (SoT) (23). As the below image from our Transfer Analytics feature shows, he is the most transferred-in player this week with nearly 200,000 managers bringing him in already. Man. City are top for goals scored in home matches (50) while only Liverpool (61) have created more BC than their 58. Their visitors Arsenal have conceded nine goals over the last six gameweeks and have kept just one clean sheet. The Gunners are ranked ninth for SiB conceded (52) and 11th for BC conceded (15). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 6.2 for Haaland.

Mohamed Salah (whu)

Salah’s goal against Forest made it five over the last six gameweeks for the Egyptian international, no midfielder has managed more. As the below image from our Stats Sandbox feature shows, he is also top for SiB (19) and BC (seven) while only Benrahma (10) has landed more SoT than his eight. Liverpool have scored 12 goals over the last six gameweeks with only Villa (14), Arsenal (18) and Newcastle (19) more prolific. Their hosts West Ham have conceded eight goals over the same period and are ranked 10th for shots conceded (80). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 5.2 for Salah.

Ollie Watkins (FUL)

Watkins total of six goals over the last six gameweeks can only be bettered by Isak (seven) and no forward has taken more shots (25), landed more SoT (16) or been afforded more BC (10) than the 27-year-old. As the below image from our Fix Heatmaps feature shows, he averages 5.5 points per game in home matches this season. Villa have scored 14 goals over the last six gameweeks and are ranked fifth for shots (90). Meanwhile, only Arsenal (20), Liverpool (21) and Newcastle (24) have created more BC than Villa (19). Their visitors Fulham have conceded eight goals over the same period and have kept no clean sheets. The Cottagers are ranked sixth for SoT conceded (27) and 11th for BC conceded (15). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 5.9 for Watkins.

Solly March (nfo)

March will be desperate to put his penalty miss in the FA Cup behind him and as the below image from our Match Stats feature shows, over Brighton’s last five matches he is top amongst their players for SoT (seven), assists (three) and attempted assists (19). The Seagulls have scored 11 goals over the last six gameweeks and are top for shots (118). Their hosts Forest have conceded 15 goals over the aforementioned period with only Leeds (22) faring worse. No team has allowed opponents more SiB (83) than Forest while only Leeds (23) have conceded more BC than their 19. Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 5.0 for March.

Trent Alexander-Arnold (whu)

Alexander-Arnold’s assist for Salah’s goal against Forest made it four over the last six gameweeks for the right-back, no defender has managed more. Only Chilwell (14) and Trippier (20) have created more chances than his 12 while no defender has created more BC (six). Liverpool have conceded 10 goals over the last six gameweeks and have kept one clean sheet. The Merseyside outfit are ranked eighth for SiB conceded (48) and fourth for SoT conceded (25). Their hosts West Ham have scored 10 goals over the last six gameweeks and are ranked 14th for SiB conceded (53). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a 30% chance of a Liverpool clean sheet and a point score of 4.4 for Alexander-Arnold.