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GW29 Top Five Key Players

The Editor 1 March 2018

Harry Kane (HUD)

Kane (12.9), was afforded a rest in midweek versus Rochdale and will be eager to add to his tally of 24 goals in the Premier League at the weekend with fierce rivalry for the golden boot from Salah (10.5) and Agüero (12.0). Spurs face Juventus in the last 16 of the Champions League on Wednesday and with the tie neatly balanced there is always the risk of reduced minutes. However, Pochettino will look to his best players from the start here with a top-four finish far from guaranteed and Kane will be expected to kill this one off early. After his match-winning goal against Crystal Palace, the Spurs forward has now scored in five of the last six gameweeks, notching six goals. No player has taken more goal attempts, from inside the box, with 102, or on target, with 64, than Kane this campaign. Over the last four gameweeks Kane continues to impress, producing 10 shots on target which is three more than Salah or Agüero. Huddersfield travel the long trip south to face Tottenham in gameweek 29 and have conceded 23 goals in their last eight games versus the “top six”, losing all but one against Man. United. Tottenham have scored 13 goals in their last five home games (beating Man. United and Arsenal to nil) and are unsurprisingly predicted to score the most goals via our Fix algorithm for gameweek 29, with 2.77. Kane is also projected to score the most points with 8.2, just ahead of Salah.

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Mohamed Salah (NEW)

The debate rumbles on within the Fix towers in relation to renaming this year’s “Top Five” to the “Top Four” with Salah (10.5) holding down a resident spot, week in week out. The Egyptian midfielder has been absolutely relentless this season weighing in with another goal and assist in gameweek 28. This was to be the Liverpool man’s third consecutive gameweek where he has produced a double-digit point score. He has now amassed an incredible total 33 Fantasy Premier League (FPL) involvements, which is seven more than Agüero, who has 26 and eight more than Kane’s total of 25. That trend has continued over the last four gameweeks with the midfielder chipping in with seven FPL involvements, which cannot be rivalled. Liverpool have scored 11 goals over the last four gameweeks and Salah has contributed to 64% of them, with his five goals and two assists. Liverpool will host Newcastle in gameweek 29 and will be looking to exploit the permeable defence that has only managed to keep one clean sheet in their last six league games. The Magpies also managed to hold Liverpool to a draw at home back in October 2017, so expect Klopp to put things right in the reverse encounter this weekend. Salah is projected to score 8.0 points with Liverpool predicted to score 2.47 goals via our Fix algorithm.

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Ben Davies (HUD)

Davies (5.8), points per game this season is astonishing with the Welsh international managing an average of 6.7 points per game played. Pochettino appears to be the master of the attacking full-back with Trippier (5.3) also weighing in with five FPL involvements this season. And the evidence does not stop there, with both Clyne (5.3) and Shaw (4.9) weighing in with seven FPL involvements during his one season at Southampton. To put that in perspective, the pair have achieved only 11 FPL involvements in the three seasons since. Gameweek 28 saw Spurs register their 13th clean sheet of the season, with a 1-0 win over Crystal Palace and only Chelsea, with 14, Man. United, with 15, have kept more. Over the last six gameweeks Spurs have kept a league-high of four clean sheets, conceding just three goals over that period. Davies has started each of the last eight league matches and in that time has produced two assists and five clean sheets. The left wing-back has provided a total of eight FPL involvements this campaign which ranks him first amongst defenders ahead of Alonso (7.2) and Azpilicueta (7.0) who both have 7 FPL involvements. Tottenham will be looking to make it four clean sheets in four at Wembley in gameweek 29 but will have to do it against a revitalised Huddersfield side. While the Terriers have managed back to back wins they have only managed to score four goals in eight games versus the “top six”. Our Fix algorithm forecasts a clean sheet probability of 61% for Tottenham this weekend, which is the highest percentage of any team. Davies is predicted to score the most of any defender with 5.3 points.

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Junior Stanislas (lei)

When fit, Stanislas (5.9), has proven to be a solid source of FPL involvements averaging a goal or assist every 78.3 minutes in the last six gameweeks and one every 113.5 minutes during the entire 2016/17 season. His penchant to shoot, as well as his direct free-kick and corner taking duties add to the attraction. The Bournemouth midfielder has three goals and three assists from his 13 league starts this campaign and four of his six FPL involvements have come over the last five gameweeks. His five efforts on target over the last four gameweeks is on par with the in-form Shaqiri (6.3) and only De Bruyne (10.4), with six, and Salah, with seven, have taken more during that time amongst midfielders. Stanislas is averaging 0.9 shots on target per game this season which compares favourably against other midfielders under 8.5. Ramsey (6.9) is currently top within this category with an average of 1.1 shots on target per game. Bournemouth travel to Leicester for gameweek 29 and will be looking to keep their average goals scored per game at the level it is currently. The Cherries have scored two goals per game over the last nine gameweeks and five of those were against Chelsea and Arsenal. Expect a very open-ended high scoring game, and with Stanislas’ impressive minutes per FPL involvement ratio he could be the one to draft in, particularly with blank gameweek 31 in mind.

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Troy Deeney (WBA)

Deeney (6.3), is most certainly not everyone’s cup of tea, but has still managed 10+ goals in his two Premier League seasons since Watford were promoted. A healthy return of 42 FPL involvements across two and a half seasons also stands out and equates to roughly 15 (goals and assists) per season. An up and down campaign so far for the Watford forward, but with 90 minutes in each of his last five gameweeks returning 21 points, and two favourable fixtures over the next two plus a game in blank gameweek 31, we had to give him some serious thought. It is now four goals and two assists from just 12 starts this campaign and when compared with other forwards priced under 8.5 only Gayle (6.1), with four, has had more shots on target than Deeney, with three, over the last three gameweeks. The Hornets have scored eight goals over their last four home matches so will be licking their lips at the prospect of facing the worst side in the league. fWatford play West Brom at home in gameweek 29 and Pardew’s side look to be a relegated outfit barring a miracle. The Baggies have conceded 12 goals in their last five league games, losing each of them. Relegation battlers, Southampton and Huddersfield, were also able to score five goals versus West Brom during that run. Our Fix algorithm predicts that Watford will score 1.44 goals this gameweek, and Deeney is projected to score the most points of all the forwards priced 8.5 and under, with 4.0.

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