Caveat - Picks are in the below format

1. No.1 predicted by Fix 
2. Alternative high-ownership option. Over 20%
3. Differential option. Under 20%

Ivan Toney (eve, sou)

Toney has found the back of the net twice over the last six gameweeks and is ranked fourth for shots amongst forwards (17) with only Nketiah (19), Darwin and Kane (20 each) faring better. Only Haaland (seven), Watkins and Darwin (eight each) have landed more shots on target (SoT) than his six. Brentford have scored eight goals over the last six gameweeks and are ranked 10th for 'big chances' (11). The Bees' hosts for their first game Everton have conceded 12 goals over the same period with only Man. Utd (13) more porous. Forest (17), Arsenal, Villa (18 each) and Liverpool (19) are the only teams to have allowed opponents more 'big chances' than the Merseyside outfit (16). Their South Coast hosts Southampton have conceded seven goals over the last six gameweeks and have kept two clean sheets. The Saints are ranked 13th for shots conceded (83). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 9.5 for Toney.

Mohamed Salah (bou)

Salah's double against Man. Utd took his total to four goals over the last six gameweeks, only Rashford (six) has scored more amongst midfielders over that period. Meanwhile, Rashford (17) and Saka (23) are the only two players to have attempted more shots in the box (SiB), and the Egyptian international is also top for assists (three). As the below image from our Match Stats feature shows, he is top amongst Liverpool players over their last five matches for goals (four), 'Expected Goals' (xG) (3.0), SoT (eight) and assists (three). Liverpool have scored 13 goals over the last six gameweeks with only Man. City (16) and Arsenal (17) scoring more. Only Man. City (27) have created more 'big chances' than Liverpool (21) or landed more SoT (38 vs 36). Their opponents Bournemouth have conceded 10 goals over the last six gameweeks and have kept just one clean sheet. No side has allowed opponents more big chances' (36) or shots (121) than the Cherries. Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 6.1 for Salah.

Alexis Mac Allister (lee, CRY)

Mac Allister's penalty against West Ham was his only goal over the last four gameweeks but as the below image from our Stats Sandbox feature shows, only Salah (3.00) has registered a higher xG than the Argentina international (2.60) over that period. Despite playing only 270 minutes, he is fourth for shots in the box (SiB) (11) and second for 'big chances' (five). The Seagulls have scored eight goals over the last six gameweeks and have attempted 91 shots with only Man. City (108), Liverpool (110) and Arsenal (149) attempting more. Even more interesting, they only trail Man. City (27) for 'big chances' (21). Their hosts Leeds have conceded seven goals over the same period and have kept two clean sheets. The Yorkshire side are ranked 13th for shots conceded (83). Their second opponents Palace have conceded five goals over the last six gameweeks and have also kept two clean sheets. The Eagles are ranked 10th for 'big chances' conceded (13) and 19th for SoT conceded (29). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 7.6 for Mac Allister.