Caveat - Picks are in the below format

1. No.1 predicted by Fix 
2. Alternative high-ownership option. Over 20%
3. Differential option. Under 20%

Erling Haaland (AVL/ars)

Haaland (25) is eight goals clear of Kane (17) in the Golden Boot race and the Norwegian international is top amongst all players for shots in the box (SiB) (69), shots on target (SoT) (40) and 'big chances' (34). Man. City are top for goals scored (63), shots (350), 'big chances' (72) and SoT (120) this season. Their first opponents Villa are ranked 13th for goals conceded (31) and only four sides have kept fewer clean sheets than their five. Only Leeds (60), Liverpool (63) and Fulham (66) have allowed opponents more 'big chances' (51) this season than the Midlands side. Their second opponents, Arsenal, have conceded 17 goals this season with only Newcastle (12) more frugal. The Gunners are ranked second for both SiB conceded (115) and 'big chances' conceded (27). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 12.6 for Haaland.

Bukayo Saka (BRE/MCI)

Saka has been Arsenal's chief creator this season with his eight assists second only to De Bruyne (12) amongst midfielders. As the Stats Sandbox image below shows, only A. Pereira (48), B. Fernandes (57) and De Bruyne (64) have created more chances amongst midfielders than his 47. Arsenal are ranked sixth for goals scored this season (45) and third for SiB (227). Their first opponents Brentford have conceded 28 goals this campaign (seventh) and have allowed opponents more SoT (117) than any other side. Their second opponents Man. City are ranked third for goals conceded (21) and top for shots conceded (160) but are only fourth for 'big chances' conceded (30). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 9.5 for Saka.