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GW22 Top Three Captaincy Picks

Fantasy Football Fix 3 Feb. 2023

Caveat - Picks are in the below format

  1. No.1 predicted by Fix 
  2. Alternative high-ownership option. Over 20%
  3. Differential option. Under 20%

Marcus Rashford (CRY/LEE)

Rashford has been one of the league's form players since the World Cup and is top amongst midfielders over the last four gameweeks for goals scored (four), shots (14), shots on target (SoT) (eight) and 'big chances' (six). No midfielder has scored more goals (seven) or been afforded more 'big chances' (12) in home matches this season. Man. Utd have scored 17 goals at Old Trafford this season and are fourth for 'big chances' (28) in home matches. Their first opponents Palace have conceded 11 goals in away games this season and have kept just three clean sheets. They are ranked 11th for 'big chances' conceded (22) and seventh for shots conceded (123). Their second opponents Leeds have conceded 19 goals in away matches this season and have kept just one clean sheet on their travels. No team has allowed opponents more 'big chances' (32) in away matches this season than the Yorkshire side. Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 11.0 for Rashford.

gw22capsrash

Erling Haaland (TOT)

Haaland has bagged five goals over the last four gameweeks and as the Stats Sandbox image below shows, no forward has been afforded more 'big chances' (10). Only Nketiah (15) and Kane (19) have taken more shots than his 14 and only the Arsenal forward (nine) has landed more SoT than his seven. Man. City have scored 10 goals over the last four gameweeks and are top for 'big chances' (18). Their opponents Spurs have conceded eight goals over the same period with only Everton (nine) shipping more. Fulham (74) are the only team to have allowed opponents more shots than the North London side (72). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 6.0 for Haaland.

gw22top5haaland

B. Fernandes (CRY/LEE)

B. Fernandes has found the back of the net twice over the last four gameweeks and has taken 11 shots with only six midfielders managing more. Gibbs-White (15) is the only player to have created more chances than the Portuguese international (14) and he is also second for 'big chances' created (four) just behind De Bruyne (five). As the below image from our FPL Statistics feature shows, he is owned by under 15% of the top 1000 and can be an explosive differential. Man. Utd have scored nine goals over the last four gameweeks with only Man. City (10) and Brighton (11) faring better. Meanwhile, Arsenal (70) are the only team to have taken more shots than the Red Devils (63), while only Brighton (25) have landed more SoT than their 23. Their first opponents Palace have conceded six goals over the last four gameweeks with only Spurs (72) and Fulham (74) allowing more shots than the Eagles (66). Their second opponents Leeds have conceded four goals over the same period and have kept two clean sheets. The Yorkshire side are ranked 14th for 'big chances' conceded (10). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 10.8 for B. Fernandes.

gw22capsbruno

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