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GW19 Top Three Captaincy Picks

Fantasy Football Fix 14 Jan. 2021

Caveat: This blog was written prior to Arsenal vs Palace game on 14/1/2020. 

Picks are always in the below format

  1. No.1 predicted by Fix 
  2. Alternative high-ownership option. Over 20%
  3. Differential option. Under 20%

Kevin De Bruyne (CRY/AVL)

De Bruyne has found the back of the net thrice this season and only B. Fernandes (55) has taken more shots than the Belgian (54) amongst midfielders. Only Mane, B. Fernandes (each 12), Salah (14) and Son (14) have been afforded more ‘big chances’ than his 11. No midfielder has registered more assists (nine) or created more ‘big chances’ (13). Man. City have scored 25 goals this season with only Leeds (259) and Liverpool (262) managing more shots than their 250. Only Liverpool (50) registered more ‘big chances’ than their 49. Palace have conceded 29 goals this season, keeping just two clean sheets. Only Leeds (33) and West Brom (39) have been more porous while only Fulham (40), Sheff. Utd (41), West Brom (47) and Leeds (49) have afforded opponents more ‘big chances’ than the Eagles’ 38. Villa have conceded 16 goals this season, keeping eight clean sheets. They allowed opponents 68 shots on target (SoT) and 21 ‘big chances’. Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 14.1 for the Belgian.

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Mohamed Salah (MUN/BUR)

Salah leads the goalscoring charts this season amongst midfielders (13) and he is also top for shots in the box (SiB) (40). Only Son (17) has notched more ‘big chances’ than the Egyptian’s 14. He averages 8.3 points per game (ppg) at home this season as per our Fix Heatmaps feature. Liverpool top the tables for goals scored (37), ‘big chances’ (50) and SoT (98). Their first opponents Man. Utd have conceded 24 goals this season, only seven sides have conceded more. They are ranked seventh worst for ‘big chances’ conceded (33). Burnley have conceded 21 goals this season, keeping just six clean sheets. Only six teams allowed opponents more shots than the Clarets’ 222. Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 11.6 for Salah.

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Marcus Rashford (liv/ful)

Rashford has notched seven goals this season, only Zaha (eight), B. Fernandes (11), Son (12) and Salah (13) have been more prolific amongst midfielders. As the Stats Sandbox shows, his total of 43 shots is bettered only by Mane (48), De Bruyne, Salah (each 54) and B. Fernandes (55). Only B. Fernandes (25) and Salah (26) landed more SoT than his 20 while only B. Fernandes (eight), Grealish and De Bruyne (both nine) have managed more assists than his five. Man. Utd have scored 34 goals this season, only Liverpool (37) have managed more. Their total of 46 ‘big chances’ is bettered only by Spurs (47), Man. City (49) and Liverpool (50) while no side has landed more SoT (98). Liverpool have conceded 21 goals this season, keeping just five clean sheets. Only Palace (38), Fulham (40), Sheff. Utd (41), West Brom (47) and Leeds (49) have allowed opponents more ‘big chances’ than Liverpool (35). Fulham have shipped 24 goals this season, keeping just three clean sheets. Only seven sides have shipped more. Only Sheff. Utd (41), West Brom (47) and Leeds (49) have allowed opponents more ‘big chances’ than the Cottagers’ 40. Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 8.7 for the Englishman. 

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