Blog

27 Nov.

GW13 Lessons Learned

By Fantasy Football Fix ()


1. xFPL review

xFPL explained : Expected goals (xG), assists (xA), involvements (xI = xG + xA) and clean sheets (xC) that were expected based on the underlying statistics (e.g. shot type and location). xFPL is the combination of these statistics and factors in appearance and bonus points to give an overall expected Fantasy Premier League (FPL) point score.

Man. City and Tottenham midfielders top the xFPL table this week with Sané posting impressive numbers, taking three shots inside the box (SiB), all of which found the target, and three attempted assists. Sterling scored with his only shot on target (SoT), and his only two attempted assists were converted as well, indicating he perhaps over-performed on this occasion. Despite getting on the scoresheet, Salah registered a xFPL score of only 4.1, as he registered two SoT,and attempted no assists. Hazard and Agüero fared even worse, posting xFPL scores of 2.5 and 3.2 respectively. Robertson and Alexander-Arnold continue to impress with their potential at both ends of the pitch, with xFPL scores of 7.1 and 6.9, and with their ownership on the up, owning at least one of them seems almost essential.

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2. Man. City's midfield

The Champions once again topped the scoring charts this gameweek, scoring four past the hammers, with D. Silva, Sterling and Sané getting on the scoresheet. All three midfielders are still posses a relatively low ownership, and with Sterling now the overall top scorer in the game many managers are making plans to accommodate at least one in their midfield slots. Using the Fix Comparison matrix, the Man. City mids are compared with Hazard and Salah and Sterling appears to be the clear winner registering more shots, SoT and assists than his teammates. The stats suggest that it should be Hazard rather than Salah making way for Sterling in your squad and thetransfer trends indicate that it will be the most popular move this gameweek.

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3. Is Siggy being overlooked?

Richarlison was the most transferred in player as well as one of the most captained going into gameweek 13, but it was his teammate Sigurdsson who stole the show, and the Icelander is now 10 points clear of the Brazilian in the FPL point standings. The two are compared using the Fix Heatmaps feature, focusing on the period from gameweek eight when Richarlison moved into a striker role with Sigurdsson the no 10, and the numbers make for surprising reading. The Icelander has taken 18 shots to the Brazilian’s 11 and attempted nearly four times the number of assists.  Priced at only 0.4 more than Richarlison and at only 7.4% ownership compared to 31%, investing in Sigurdsson could be a great explosive differential for those who have not brought in either to their teams just yet.

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