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GW11 Top Three Captaincy Picks

Fantasy Football Fix 14 Oct. 2022

Caveat - Picks are in the below format

  1. No.1 predicted by Fix 
  2. Alternative high-ownership option. Over 20%
  3. Differential option. Under 20%

Gabriel Jesus (lee)

Jesus has found the back of the net five times this season with only Firmino, Toney, Mitrović (six each), Kane (eight) and Haaland (15) scoring more amongst forwards. Haaland (35) is the only player to have taken more shots in the box (SiB) (30) than the Brazilian international while only Kane (17) has created more chances than his 14. Jesus is also the trailblazer in the assists department amongst forwards, no one has registered more than his four. The Gunners (23) trail only Man. City (33) for goals scored and are also second to the reigning Champions (38) for 'big chances' (25). Leeds have conceded 12 goals this season and have kept just two clean sheets. Palace (23), Leicester (25) and Fulham (33) are the only clubs to have allowed opponents more 'big chances' than the Yorkshire side. Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 6.3 for Jesus.

gw11caps2022jesus

Harry Kane (EVE)

Kane has found the back of the net eight times this season and only Haaland has been more prolific amongst forwards. As the Stats Sandbox image below shows, the English international only trails Haaland for shots (31 to 38) and ‘big chances’ (nine to 17). No forward has created more chances than his 17. Spurs have scored 20 goals with only Arsenal (23) and Man. City (33) being more prolific. The North London side find themselves just behind Arsenal (57) and Man. City (61) for shots on target (SoT) (53). Their opponents Everton have conceded just nine goals this season, but are ranked 19th for shots conceded (146) with only Forest (148) faring worse. Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 5.6 for Kane.

gw11caps2022kane

Bukayo Saka (lee)

Saka continued his fine form with a goal in the Europa League on Thursday night and only Trossard (four) and Foden (five) have scored more goals amongst midfielders over the last six gameweeks than his three. The Englishman only trails Bowen (18) for shots (17) while Trossard (five) is the only player to have been afforded more ‘big chances’ (four). As the below image from our FPL Statistics feature shows, he is owned by under 5% of the top 1000 and is a big differential. Arsenal (12) find themselves just behind Man. City for goals scored (20) over the last six gameweeks while only Liverpool (53), Newcastle (61) and Man. City (63) have taken more SiB than their 52. Their opponents Leeds have shipped eight goals over the same period keeping just one clean sheet. They are ranked 19th for 'big chances' conceded (17) despite playing a game fewer than most teams. Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 4.8 for Saka.

gw11caps2022saka

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