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FPL Gameweek 38: Top 3 Captaincy Picks

Fantasy Football Fix 17 May 2024

In this blog, the three best Captaincy options for Fantasy Premier League (FPL) Gameweek 38 are discussed. Picks are in the below format:

  1. No.1 predicted by Fix 
  2. Alternative high-ownership option. Over 20%
  3. Differential option. Under 20%

Mohamed Salah (WOL)

Liverpool will be looking to score goals in Klopp's final home game and only Palmer (16) has scored more goals than Salah (13) in home matches amongst midfielders. The Egyptian international is top for shots (67), shots on target (SoT) (36), 'big chances' (BC) (20) and 'Expected Goals' (xG) (13.74). He is also second for BC created (12) with only B. Fernandes (14) faring better. Liverpool have scored 47 goals in home maches (fourth) and are top for xG (52.34). Their visitors Wolves have conceded 33 goals (ninth) in away matches this season and have kept just two clean sheets. The Midlands side are ranked sixth for shots conceded (259) and 11th for xGC (33.82). Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a point score of 7.8 for Salah.

gw38capssalah

Erling Haaland (WHU)

Haaland's total of 15 goals in home matches is top amongst forwards this season and the Norwegian international is also top for shots (67) and shots in the box (SiB) (63) while only Isak has managed more BC (25 vs 23) and a higher xG (14.00 vs 13.68). As the below image from our Opta Player Heatmaps feature shows, he has averaged 7.6 FPL points per game in home matches this season. Man. City have scored 48 goals in home matches (second) and are fifth for xG (39.20). Their visitors West Ham have conceded 43 goals in away matches (18th) and have kept just one clean sheet on their travels. The Hammers are ranked 16th for shots conceded (343) and 19th for xGC (42.95). Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a point score of 7.3 for Haaland.

gw38capshaaland

Michael Olise (AVL)

Olise has been talismanic for Palace since his return from injury, as the below image from our Match Stats feature shows over their last five matches he is second amongst their players for goals (four) and xG (2.0) while he is top for SoT (eight), assists (two) and attempted assists (10). Palace have scored 32 goals in home matches (eighth) and are ranked 14th for xG (28.33). Their visitors Villa have conceded 28 goals in away matches (fourth) and have kept four clean sheets. The Midlands side are ranked third for shots conceded (236) and sixth for xGC (32.63) but might make some personnel changes having already secured Champions League qualification. Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a point score of 4.8 for Olise.

gw38capsolise

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