In this blog, the three best Captaincy options for Fantasy Premier League (FPL) Gameweek 4 are discussed. Picks are in the below format:

1. No.1 predicted by Fix 
2. Alternative high-ownership option. Over 20%
3. Differential option. Under 20%

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Erling Haaland (FUL)

Haaland's record at the Etihad was exemplary last season, no forward managed more goals (22), shots in the box (SiB) (60), 'big chances' (BC) (31) or 'Expected Goals' (xG) (14.87) than the Norwegian International in home matches. This season, he is already top for goals (three), shots (16), shots on target (SoT) (seven), and Expected Goals (xG) (3.07). Only Awoniyi (20) and Wissa (22) have notched more FPL points than his 19. Man. City were top for goals scored (60) and BC (74) in home matches last season with only Liverpool (43.61) managing a higher xG than their 41.61. Their opponents Fulham have conceded just five goals in their three matches, but are ranked 19th for SiB conceded (45). No side has registered a worse Expected Goals Conceded (xGC) tally than the London side (9.45). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 7.8 for Haaland.

Use predictive FPL statistics to increase your Gameweek points.

Mohamed Salah (AVL)

Salah scored 11 goals in home matches last season with only Rashford (13) more prolific amongst midfielders. As the below image from our Fix Heatmaps feature shows, he averaged 6.8 FPL points at Anfield while no midfielder registered more SiB (61) or xG (15.59) than the Egyptian international. He has registered three attacking returns in as many matches with two assists and a goal this season, only Mbeumo (2.87) has notched a higher xG than the Egyptian International (2.09) He has taken 10 shots, which is only bettered by Bowen (11), B. Fernandes (13) and Eze (16). No side registered a higher xG (43.61) in home matches than Liverpool last season and, this campaign, the Reds have scored six goals so far, but their attacking numbers were affected by going down to 10 men early against Newcastle in Gameweek 3. They are ranked eighth for shots (48) And 10th for xG (5.71). Villa have conceded six goals this season with only Luton (seven) performing worse. The Midlands side are ranked 10th for xGC (4.97) but only sixth for shots conceded (35). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 6.6 for Salah.

Use a range of pitch maps to help inform your transfers.

Jarrod Bowen (lut)

Bowen's goal and assist against Brighton made it 23 FPL points for the 26-year-old, only Mbeumo (25). Rodrigo and March (26 each) have fared better amongst midfielders this season. As the below image from our Stats Sandbox feature shows, he is top for shots (11), SoT (five), BC (three) and xG (1.68) amongst West Ham players while only Paqueta and Benrahma (six each) have attempted more assists than his four. West Ham have scored seven goals this season with only Villa (eight) and Brighton (nine) more prolific. The Hammers are ranked sixth for BC (nine) and xG (6.37). Their hosts Luton have conceded more goals (seven) than anyone else in the division despite playing a game fewer, only Fulham (9.45) have registered a worse xGC than the Hatters (7.13). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 5.3 for Bowen.

Find out who the best transfers are with Opta statistics.

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