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GW 35 Top Three Captaincy Picks

Fantasy Football Fix 5 May 2023

Caveat - Picks are in the below format

  1. No.1 predicted by Fix 
  2. Alternative high-ownership option. Over 20%
  3. Differential option. Under 20%

Erling Haaland (LEE)

Haaland has scored seven goals over the last six gameweeks, only C. Wilson (eight) has managed more amongst forwards over that period. No striker has landed more shots on target (SoT) (12), been afforded more 'big chances' (BC) or registered a higher 'Expected Goals' tally (xG) (5.09). Man. City have scored 20 goals over the last six gameweeks with only Newcastle (22) finding the back of the net more often. Meanwhile, only Brighton (50) have landed more SoT than their 45. Their opponents Leeds have had a tough time of it defensively, no team in the division has shipped more goals than their 23. They are also bottom for 'Expected Goals conceded' (xGC) (15.25). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 9.3 for Haaland.

gw35capshaaland

Mohamed Salah (BRE)

Salah has scored seven times over the last six gameweeks with no midfielder finding the back of thet net more often. As the Stats Sandbox image below shows, the Egyptian international is also top amongst midfielders for shots in the box (SiB) (26), BC (nine) and xG (6.37) over that period. Liverpool have scored 19 goals over the last six gameweeks with only Man. City (20) and Newcastle (22) scoring more. Meanwhile, only Newcastle (16.70) have registered a higher xG (15.96) than the Reds. Their opponents Brentford have let in 10 goals over the aforementioned period and have kept just one clean sheet. Only Forest, Bournemouth (108 each), West Ham (120) and Leicester (130) have allowed opponents more shots than the London side (107). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 5.8 for Salah.

gw35top5salah

Heung-Min Son (CRY)

Son looks back to his best after four goals over Spurs' last five matches, as the below image from our Match Stats feature shows over the aforementioned period he is top amongst their players for goals (four), xG (2.7) and SoT (seven) while he is also third for attempted assists (seven). Spurs have scored 11 goals over the last six gameweeks and are ranked 10th for xG (8.96). Their visitors Palace have been frugal of late with just seven goals conceded over the last six gameweeks but with Premier League safety now secured they might be a bit more expansive. They are ranked second for xGC (4.70) over the aforementioned period. Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 5.2 for Son.

gw35capssonny

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