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Gameweek 24: Top Three FPL Captaincy Picks

Fantasy Football Fix 9 Feb.

In this blog, the three best Captaincy options for Fantasy Premier League (FPL) Gameweek 24 are discussed. Picks are in the below format:

  1. No.1 predicted by Fix 
  2. Alternative high-ownership option. Over 20%
  3. Differential option. Under 20%

Erling Haaland (EVE)

Haaland notched an assist on his first start since his injury since Brentford, the 23-year-old is still top of the goalscoring charts (14) despite just 17 appearances, he is also still top for ‘Expected Goals’ (xG) (15.69) and ‘big chances’ (BC) (28) amongst forwards while only Solanke (62) and Watkins (61) have taken more shots in the box (SiB) than his 61. Man. City have scored 54 goals this season, more than any other side despite playing a game fewer. They are top for shots on target (SoT) (157) while only Liverpool (70) and Newcastle (81) have crafted more BC than their 68. Their visitors Everton have conceded 16 goals on their travels and have kept four clean sheets. The Toffees are ranked 10th for shots conceded (167) and fifth for ‘Expected Goals Conceded’ (xGC) (19.33) in away matches. Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a point score of 6.1 for Haaland.

gw24capshaaland

Ollie Watkins (MUN)

Watkins’ goal against Sheff. Utd. made it 11 for the season for the 28-year-old, only Darwin (73) has taken more shots amongst forwards than his 68 while only Álvarez (48) has attempted more assists than his 34. As the below image from our Opta Player Heatmaps feature shows, Watkins has averaged 6.5 FPL points per game at Villa park this season. Villa have scored 30 goals at home this season, no side has been more prolific on home turf. They are ranked eighth for BC (33) and seventh for xG (23.41) in home matches. Their opponents Man. Utd. have conceded just 14 goals on their travels (third) and have kept four clean sheets. However, they are ranked 17th for shots conceded (193) and ninth for xGC (20.22). Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a point score of 4.6 for Watkins.

gw24capswatkins

Darwin Núñez (BUR)

Darwin should return to the Liverpool starting lineup after a cameo against Arsenal and as the Opta Stats Sandbox image below shows, the Uruguayan international has found the back of the net seven times this season with no forward attempting more shots (73) and only Haaland (28) being afforded more BC than his 25. Liverpool are joint-top with Arsenal and Villa (30 each) for goals scored at home while no side has taken more shots (264) or registered a higher xG (32.65) in home matches. Their visitors Burnley have conceded 20 goals on the road (ninth) and have kept just one clean sheet. The Clarets are ranked 16th for shots conceded (192) and 10th for xGC (20.82) in away matches. Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a point score of 4.7 for Darwin.

gw24capsdarwin

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