Welcome to our Fantasy Premier League (FPL) guide for Gameweek 38!
Each week, we’ll highlight the top picks to help you make the smartest moves for your FPL team.
Here’s what we’ll focus on for each Gameweek:
🔥 2 Attackers £8.5m or more
💰 2 Attackers under £8.5m
🛡️ 1 Defender or Goalkeeper
Haaland has found the back of the net five times over the last six Gameweeks, with no player managing more. The Norwegian international ranks top among all players for shots (24), shots on target (10), shots in the box (23), 'big chances' (10) and 'Expected Goals' (xG) (5.42) over that period.
As the image below from our Fix Heatmaps feature shows, he has averaged 7.1 FPL points per game in home matches this season.
Man City have scored 16 goals over the last six Gameweeks, more than any other side. The Manchester club also rank top for shots (136), shots in the box (94), 'big chances' (23) and xG (17.38).
However, their midweek draw with Bournemouth has now ended their title hopes, which could increase the risk of limited minutes or rotation in the final Gameweek.
Their visitors, Villa, arrive off the back of a 3-0 Europa League victory over Freiburg. However, the Villans have conceded 11 goals over the same period in the Premier League (14th) and have not kept a clean sheet. They also rank fifth for shots in the box conceded (46) and xGC (9.11).
According to our Predicted Points & Stats tool, Haaland is projected to score 6.4 points this Gameweek.
B.Fernandes equalled the all-time Premier League assist record against Forest and will be looking to go top as Man United travel to Brighton on the final day.
As shown in the image below from our Opta Stats Sandbox, over the last six Gameweeks the Portuguese international is top amongst all players for FPL assists (six), attempted assists (31), 'big chances' created (eight) and 'Expected Assists' (xA) (4.27).
Man United have scored 10 goals over the last six Gameweeks (eighth). The Red Devils rank second for shots (93), tenth for 'big chances' (16) and seventh for xG (11.15).
Their hosts Brighton currently sit seventh, but could still finish sixth if results go their way. The Seagulls have conceded just six goals over the same period (fifth) and have kept three clean sheets. They also rank top for shots conceded (54) and third for xGC (7.40).
According to our Predicted Points & Stats tool, B.Fernandes is projected to score 5.9 points this Gameweek.
Hinshelwood has scored three times over the last six Gameweeks, only Doku, Okafor (four each) and Gibbs-White (five) have fared better amongst midfielders. As shown in the image below from our Opta Stats Sandbox, the 21-year-old is ranked third for shots in the box (13), second for xG (2.92) and joint-top for 'big chances' (six).
Brighton have scored 11 goals over the last six Gameweeks (seventh), the Seagulls are ranked second for shots in the box (65), and third for xG (11.94).
Their visitors Man United have conceded seven goals over the same period (sixth) and have kept just two clean sheets. The Red Devils are ranked 15th for shots conceded (87) and 12th for xGC (10.34).
According to our Predicted Points & Stats tool, Hinshelwood is projected to score 4.4 points this Gameweek.
Osula has emerged as Newcastle's preferred striker with five goals across the last six Gameweeks which is joint-top amongst forwards. He is ranked fourth for shots on target (eight), second for 'big chances' (nine) and fourth for xG (4.43).
As the below image from our Match Centre feature shows, over Newcastle's last five league matches he is top amongst their players for goals (four), xG (3.0) and shots on target (six).
Newcastle have scored nine goals over the last six Gameweeks (tenth), the Magpies are ranked 13th for shots in the box (50), sixth for 'big chances' (18) and ninth for xG (10.79).
Their hosts Fulham have conceded seven goals over the aforementioned period (sixth) and have kept two clean sheets. The Cottagers are ranked 12th for shots in the box conceded (58) and 13th for xGC (10.48).
According to our Predicted Points & Stats tool, Osula is projected to score 4.0 points this Gameweek.
Spurs need only a draw to secure Premier League survival on the final day, which makes them one of the few teams likely to prioritise a clean sheet.
Over the last six Gameweeks, the Spanish international ranks top among defenders for shots (10) and shots on target (six), while he is also top for attempted assists (13).
Spurs have conceded seven goals over the last six Gameweeks and kept just one clean sheet, but the underlying numbers have improved under De Zerbi. They rank first for shots in the box conceded (34) and second for xGC (6.73) over that period.
Their visitors Everton have scored 10 goals over the same period (eighth). The Toffees rank 12th for shots in the box (50) and 10th for xG (10.22).
Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a 30% chance of a Spurs clean sheet and a point score of 3.5 for Pedro Porro.
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