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Under 10% Owned… But About to Haul? FPL GW28 Differentials

FPL Gameweek 28 differentials
Fantasy Football Fix 24 Feb. 2026

Top 5 FPL Differentials for Gameweek 28 (2025/26)

Looking to break away from the template in Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 28?

These five differentials are all under 10% owned, tick key underlying data boxes and – crucially – all have fixtures in Blank Gameweek 31, making them strong medium-term plays rather than one-week punts.

How We Picked These FPL Differentials

Our strategy balances attacking potential with defensive coverage:

⚽ 3 attacking player – midfielders or forwards

🛡️ 2 defensive players – defenders or goalkeepers

This ensures coverage across the pitch while prioritising FPL points, essential for Gameweek success.



Raúl: Fulham’s Underlying Numbers Standout

  • Ownership: 1.9%
  • Fixture: Tottenham (H)
  • Predicted Points: 4.0

Fulham’s Mexican forward, now 35 and still going strong, could be about to embark on a purple patch.

With fixtures of TOT (H), WHU (H), NFO (A) and BUR (H) ahead, the Cottagers face one of the most favourable attacking schedules in the league.

Premier League clubs fixtures for the next five Gameweeks

In fact, they sit top of the Fixture Planner for attacking difficulty over the next four Gameweeks and, importantly, have a very appealing home tie against Burnley in Blank Gameweek 31.

Raúl has played 26 matches, scoring eight goals — making him Fulham’s joint top scorer alongside Harry Wilson. However, his 10.14 expected goals (xG) comfortably exceeds Wilson’s underlying numbers, suggesting his returns are far more sustainable and that he may even have more to come.

Creatively, he has registered five FPL assists from 21 attempted assists, showing he’s not just a penalty-box poacher but a well-rounded contributor.

At under 2% ownership, he looks a standout differential as Fulham’s fixtures turn green.

Anderson: Pereira Unlocking More Attack?

  • Ownership: 6.1%
  • Fixture: Brighton (A)
  • Predicted Points: 4.1

The 22-year-old Englishman is already Forest’s top FPL scorer, with 118 points from 27 matches, averaging a very respectable 4.27 points per game, as shown in the Opta Heatmaps tool. That represents strong value for his £5.4m price point.

Elliot Anderson FPL stats for the 2025/26 season

Defensively, Anderson leads the league for defensive contributions (DEFCON) with 382 — a remarkable 60 more than second-placed Garner — underlining his consistent ball recoveries, clearances and defensive actions, which significantly boost his baseline bonus potential too.

Anderson pass and shot map against Liverpool

However, under new manager Vítor Pereira, he appears to be operating higher up the pitch. Against Liverpool last Gameweek, as highlighted in his Opta heatmaps, he recorded four shots — the most of any player on the pitch — and completed 17 successful passes in the final third, bettered only by Hudson-Odoi (22).

DEFCON points have been his bread and butter this season. However, in this adjusted role, if he can increase his attacking output and build on the four attacking returns already to his name, he could represent exceptional value at £5.4m.

O. Dango: Value Over His Team-Mate?

  • Ownership: 1.4%
  • Fixture: Burnley (A)
  • Predicted Points: 4.1

The 23-year-old Burkina Faso international has quietly built a compelling case.

Premier League fixtures ranked by attacking difficulty

With BUR (A), BOU (A), WOL (H), LEE (A) to come – a run that places his side third on the Fixture Planner for attacking potential – this could be the time to invest.

Across 21 appearances, O. Dango has delivered five goals and five FPL assists. The underlying numbers support that output: 32 shots, 10 on target and 6.10 xG, highlighting consistent attacking involvement.

Brentford midfielders FPL stats compared per 90 minutes

Some FPL managers may also be considering his team-mate Kevin Schade at £6.9m. However, when comparing their per 90 data via the Opta Heatmaps tool, Dango appears the better value option — especially when saving £1.0m.

Schade (1.2%) could justify a double-up, but if choosing just one, Dango offers the stronger cost-to-data ratio.

Thaiw: Elite Goal Threat at the Back

  • Ownership: 4.3%
  • Fixture: Everton (H)
  • Predicted Points: 5.0

The 25-year-old defender has become a key part of Newcastle’s back line and is joint-top for defender goals with four.

Premier League defenders ranked by expected goals in the 2025/26 season

Across 24 appearances, he has produced 3.88 xG — the highest among defenders, as shown in the Opta Stats Sandbox — alongside 22 shots and 10 on target. His goal threat is not incidental; it is sustained and repeatable.

Facing Everton at home looks promising. The Toffees have scored just 13 away goals, the fourth lowest in the division, enhancing Newcastle’s clean sheet prospects.

Premier League defenders top predicted points for the next four Gameweeks

The Algorithm is also backing him as the top defender through to Blank Gameweek 31, projecting 17.5 points via the Predicted Points & Stats tool — suggesting stable value with upside across a favourable fixture run.

Hill: The Budget Enabler Who Keeps Delivering

  • Ownership: 5.0%
  • Fixture: Sunderland (H)
  • Predicted Points: 4.4

The 24-year-old Bournemouth defender continues to justify inclusion at just £4.1m. This is the third straight Gameweek he has featured in differential recommendations — and it’s difficult to argue against him.

Premier League defenders ranked nby FPL points in the last five games

Over the last five matches, as shown in the Opta Stats Sandbox, he is the third highest-scoring defender with 35 FPL points. That total has come via three assists, two clean sheets, two bonus points and DEFCON returns in four of those five games. During that spell, he has averaged 12.2 DEFCON actions per match — second only to Struijk (13.7) among defenders.

With Bournemouth’s favourable fixtures and Sunderland visiting this week, the clean sheet potential looks strong — and even if that fails, DEFCON points provide a steady fallback.

When looking to maintain squad structure ahead of Blank Gameweek 31, Hill remains a sensible enabler who keeps ticking along.

FPL Gameweek 28 Differentials: Final Thoughts

All five differentials:

  • Are under 10% owned
  • Have strong underlying data
  • Play in Blank Gameweek 31
  • Offer fixture upside beyond Gameweek 28

Raúl stands out as the focal point of a Fulham side top of the Fixture Planner for attack, with 10.14 xG suggesting his eight goals could easily become more. O. Dango combines value and volume, with a strong upcoming run and underlying numbers that justify investment over Schade.

Anderson offers rare multi-threat appeal — league-leading DEFCON security with signs of increased attacking intent under Vítor Pereira. Thaiw provides elite goal threat from defence, topping defenders for xG, while also benefiting from strong clean sheet prospects. Hill, meanwhile, continues to deliver exceptional budget value, blending recent attacking returns with consistent DEFCON output.

Whether you’re chasing rank in the short term or building strategically towards the blank, this group blends sustainability with upside — and with ownership still low across the board, they have genuine potential to swing mini-leagues.


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