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FPL GW27: Summerville, Rayan and the Differentials That Could Break the Template

FPL Gameweek 27 differentials
Fantasy Football Fix 17 Feb. 2026

FPL Gameweek 27 Differentials: Top 5 Under 10% Owned

If you’re chasing rank in Fantasy Premier League, Gameweek 27 feels like a swing moment. Template squads are tightening — which means calculated risks could separate green arrows from red.

This week we’ve identified an in-form attacking midfielder owned by under 1%, a proven FPL asset primed for regression to the mean with the fixtures to explode, and a budget attacking defender who looks close to essential at his price point — plus two more under-the-radar options who are flying below 10% ownership.

Every player below fits the criteria: low-owned, data-backed and well positioned for the upcoming run.

How We Picked These FPL Differentials

Our strategy balances attacking potential with defensive coverage:

⚽ 3 attacking player – midfielders or forwards

🛡️ 2 defensive players – defenders or goalkeepers

This ensures coverage across the pitch while prioritising FPL points, essential for Gameweek success.



Crysencio Summerville: Red-hot and under the radar

  • Ownership: 2.6%
  • Next fixture: Bournemouth (H)
  • Predicted points: 4.3

The 23-year-old Netherlands international is flying. Across the last 5 Gameweeks, he has scored 4 goals from 6 shots on target — the most of both for West Ham in that period, as shown in the Match Centre feature. He could also consider himself unlucky not to have an assist, having attempted 7 assists, again the most of any West Ham player.

West Ham vs Bournemouth stats for the last five games

Over the same period, only Palmer has recorded more FPL points among midfielders. He even came off the bench to save West Ham’s blushes, scoring the winner against Burton in the FA Cup at the weekend, having also scored and assisted in the previous round against QPR.

West Ham are in form, winning three of their last five Premier League matches, and now host Bournemouth — who have conceded 31 away goals, second only to Burnley (32). That’s a favourable spot for one of the league’s most in-form budget midfielders.

Ollie Watkins: Underperforming, but for how long?

  • Ownership: 9.0%
  • Next fixture: Leeds (H)
  • Predicted points: 5.2

The 29-year-old England international has played 25 games (1,911 minutes), scoring 8 goals from 51 shots, with 22 on target and 20 'big chances' across the season. His 10.42 xG suggests he’s been slightly wasteful — but that also points towards potential regression.

Watkins has also chipped in creatively with 2 FPL assists from 1.38 xA and 13 attempted assists.

Premier League clubs ranked by goals conceded in away games

With fixtures against Leeds (H) and Wolves (A), this feels like prime bounce-back territory. Leeds have been impressive at Elland Road this season; however, as shown in the Opta Stats Sandbox, they have conceded the third-most goals on their travels (27) and kept just one away clean sheet. Wolves, despite signs of improvement recently, have still conceded the most home goals in the league (28) this season.

The underlying numbers are strong — and a forward with that shot volume and xG, facing those defences at under 10% ownership, could deliver some significant green arrows for managers willing to take the punt.

Rayan: Bournemouth’s explosive new spark

  • Ownership: 0.7%
  • Next fixture: West Ham (A)
  • Predicted points: 3.4

The 23-year-old Brazilian has made an immediate impact since his January move. In just 3 games (198 minutes), he has returned 2 goals and 1 assist, registering 6 shots, 2 on target, and 3 attempts inside the box.

Under the hood, his numbers are equally encouraging. Rayan has posted 1.10 xG and 0.93 xA, both the highest among Bournemouth players in that period, alongside five attempted assists and one official FPL assist already banked. For such a small sample, those are elite creative and goal threat metrics.

Premier League fixtures ranked by attacking difficulty in the next four Gameweeks

He looks Bournemouth’s most aggressive attacking outlet and, with fixtures against West Ham (A), Sunderland (H), Brentford (H), and Burnley (A), there’s clear upside. The Cherries sit top of the Fixture Planner for attacking difficulty over the next four Gameweeks. If you’re looking for a genuine rank-booster with momentum, this Brazilian youngster could be it.

The Algorithm is backing him so much he made it into the The Perfect Wildcard Team for Gameweek 27.

Matheus Nunes: Assists, clean sheets and consistency

  • Ownership: 3.2%
  • Next fixture: Newcastle (H)
  • Predicted points: 4.4

The 27-year-old Portugal international has quietly become a superb FPL asset. He has delivered 7 assists, more than any other defender in the league.

Premier League defenders ranked by highest FPL points per game

Across 23 games, he has amassed 115 FPL points, alongside 8 clean sheets. That equates to an average of 5 points per game, as shown in the Opta Stats Sandbox — the fourth-highest among defenders.

Defensively, Manchester City have kept 11 clean sheets, the second most in the division, behind only Arsenal (13).

Fixtures against Newcastle (H), Leeds (A), Forest (H), and West Ham (A) are appealing. However, City are likely to blank in Gameweek 31 due to the Carabao Cup final, which should be factored into your transfer plans this week.

If you want a low-owned defender with both clean sheet and assist potential, the Portuguese dynamo offers exactly that.

Hill: Budget enabler with upside

  • Ownership: 2.9%
  • Next fixture: West Ham (A)
  • Predicted points: 3.6

Still only 24, the English defender has quietly impressed at just £4.0m.

In just 1,024 minutes of action, he has returned 3 assists and is averaging 11.69 DEFCON per 90 minutes, highlighting multiple routes to FPL points beyond clean sheets alone. He now appears to have nailed down his place in the starting XI, having played 90 minutes in every match since Gameweek 19.

Given the fixture run — West Ham (A), Sunderland (H), Brentford (H), Burnley (A) — he stands out as one of the best-value defensive options available and is ideal for freeing up funds elsewhere in your squad.

FPL Gameweek 27 Differentials: Final Thoughts

All five picks come in under 10% ownership and perfectly fit our differential brief:

  • 3 attackers: Rayan’s explosive start and impressive underlying numbers, Watkins’ strong xG profile with fixtures to finally punish opponents, and a red-hot Summerville facing one of the league’s weakest away defences.
  • 2 defensive options: Matheus Nunes combining league-leading assist output with Man City’s clean sheet potential, and Hill offering £4.0m value with nailed minutes and strong DEFCON output.

Each carries a different route to points — form, regression potential, fixtures, creativity or defensive contribution — but all share one thing: upside at low ownership.

If you’re serious about climbing the ranks in Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 27, these are the kind of calculated differentials that can turn steady progress into a decisive green arrow.


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