With six Gameweeks packed into the next 30 days, it’s officially business time in FPL. This is the period where managers climb ranks, seize momentum, and put themselves at the top of their mini-leagues.
And if you followed last week’s differential picks, you’ll know how valuable these low-owned gems can be. Bruno Guimarães scored directly from a corner, while Harry Wilson rewarded early adopters with a goal against Palace — perfect examples of how these punts can swing a Gameweek.
With all five of this week’s selections sitting under 10% ownership, the fixture run, underlying metrics and opportunity all point towards another set of potentially season-shifting differentials.oment to target low-owned differentials who can give you an edge.
Our strategy balances attacking potential with defensive coverage:
⚽ 3 attacking player – midfielders or forwards
🛡️ 2 defensive players – defenders or goalkeepers
This ensures coverage across the pitch while prioritising FPL points, essential for Gameweek success.
Matheus Cunha scored against his former club Wolves on Monday night and delivered exactly the kind of performance that will catch the eye of FPL managers.
The 26-year-old Brazil international fired eight shots — the most of any player in Gameweek 15 — underlining just how involved he is becoming in Manchester United’s attacking play.
With Bryan Mbeumo set to depart for AFCON after next Gameweek, United will also be counting on their other major summer signing to take on more of the goalscoring responsibility.
The fixtures only boost his appeal. As highlighted in the Fixture Planner, Manchester United rank second for attacking difficulty over the next six Gameweeks, with favourable matches against Bournemouth (H), Wolves (H) and Leeds (A). The Predicted Points & Stats tool even projects United to score over nine goals during this period — a promising sign for Cunha’s potential involvement.
His underlying numbers are on the rise, his role in the team is growing, and at just 3.7% ownership, he represents a strong opportunity to get ahead of the pack during a pivotal festive run.
The Mexican veteran striker, now 34, may not be matching his heights of earlier Premier League years, but Fulham’s fixtures make him a compelling short-term pick: Burnley (A), Forest (H), West Ham (A). So much so that the Predicted Points & Stats tool has him as the third highest for predicted points after just Haaland (19) and Thiago (15.6) for this period among forwards.
In 14 games Raúl has returned 2 goals, 3 assists, and 2 bonus points. The underlying numbers remain fairly encouraging and suggest he may have scored more, with 18 shots in the box, 3.19 xG, and 4 big chances. His recent assist against Palace in Gameweek 15 hints that he may be warming up ahead of a generous run.
Given the shortage of reliable forwards in FPL this season, rolling the dice on him for this upcoming stretch could pay off handsomely.
We suggested last week that managers assess how the 29-year-old Welsh international performed against Palace — and credit to those who moved early, as he rewarded them with a goal in Gameweek 15.
Wilson has quietly put together an impressive spell of form, as shown in the Match Centre. Over Fulham’s last five matches he has produced 2 goals, 0.6 expected goals, 3 shots on target, 2 FPL assists, and 4 attempted assists — a strong blend of goal threat and creativity.
With Burnley up next and a favourable run of fixtures, Wilson remains an excellent low-owned midfield option who continues to deliver value both in the underlying numbers and on the pitch.
Injuries to Gabriel and Mosquera mean Piero Hincapié — the 23-year-old Ecuadorian international — is now set for a secure run of starts in what remains the Premier League’s best defence.
Arsenal have conceded just nine goals in 15 matches, keeping eight clean sheets, as highlighted in the Opta Stats Sandbox.
Hincapié has also picked up Defensive Contribution points in each of his last two outings against Aston Villa and Brentford, further strengthening his appeal. Despite the absences of Gabriel and Saliba, the Predicted Points & Stats tool continues to back Arsenal’s backline, projecting them to keep a league-high 2.7 clean sheets over the next six Gameweeks.
With Wolves up next — a side who have scored a league-low eight goals in 15 games — another clean sheet looks firmly on the cards.
With Brentford entering a brilliant fixture patch — starting with Leeds at home and Wolves away — Nathan Collins, the 27-year-old Republic of Ireland centre-back, stands out as a strong budget defensive option.
He’s averaging 9.73 Defensive Contributions per game, the highest among all Brentford defenders, and he even offers a touch of attacking threat, having had 3 big chances and 1.04 xG so far this season.
One note of caution: Collins is currently on four yellow cards, meaning one more would trigger a suspension. For managers seeking a safer, lower-risk route into the Brentford backline, Van den Berg remains a viable alternative.
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