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FPL Gameweek 4 Differentials: Five Low-Owned Picks

Top 5 FPL Differentials for Gameweek 4
Fantasy Football Fix 9 Sept. 2026

FPL Gameweek 4 Differentials: Five Low-Owned Picks

Looking for an early differential after falling behind in Fantasy Premier League?

These five FPL Gameweek 4 differentials are all selected by 10% of managers or fewer at the time of writing, giving them the potential to deliver meaningful rank gains.

The selections combine encouraging performances, strong 2025/26 statistics, favourable fixtures and predicted points from Fantasy Football Fix’s algorithm.

The selection rules are:

  • 3⃣ attackers — midfielders or forwards
  • 2⃣ defensive players — goalkeepers or defenders


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Morgan Gibbs-White: Forest's talisman remains overlooked

  • Ownership: 9.4%
  • Next fixture: Aston Villa (A)
  • Predicted points: 4.9

Morgan Gibbs-White has started the campaign exactly as Fantasy Premier League managers would want, completing all 270 minutes and recording one goal, one FPL assist and 18 points across three matches.

The underlying numbers support those returns. The 26-year-old England international has attempted seven shots, with two on target, and accumulated 1.21 expected goals (xG).

Gibbs-White FPL stats from 2025/26

This follows a superb 2025/26 season in which Gibbs-White played 37 league matches, scored 15 goals and collected 188 FPL points averaging 5.1 points per game as shown in the Opta Comparison tool.

Premier League fixtures ranked by attacking difficulty for next three gameweeks.

Forest rank fifth for attacking fixture difficulty over the next three Gameweeks in the Fixture Planner, with Coventry at home in between trips to Aston Villa and Crystal Palace.

Villa are marked as a difficult opponent because the ratings include last season's data, but their much-changed side have taken only one point so far — against newly promoted Hull. The jury remains out on whether this is truly a fixture FPL managers should fear.

Yéremy Pino: Palace's creative spark at a budget price

  • Ownership: 0.3%
  • Next fixture: Ipswich Town (H)
  • Predicted points: 4.8

At only 0.3% ownership, Yéremy Pino is the biggest differential on this list.

The £5.5m midfielder has already registered two FPL assists and 11 points across Palace's opening three matches.

Crystal Palace creative Opta stats

The Spain international looks like the Eagles' leading creative threat. As shown in the Opta Stats Sandbox, Pino's five attempted assists are the most among Palace players, while his three big chances created are a joint-team-high. He has also taken every Palace corner and free-kick so far.

Crystal Palace vs Ipswich projected score

The Algorithm predicts a 1-0 home win over Ipswich, with Pino backed to score in the Match Centre.

That fixture is followed by Leeds away and Nottingham Forest at Selhurst Park, giving him the schedule to turn his prominent set-piece role into further returns.

Kai Havertz: A cut-price route into Arsenal's attack

  • Ownership: 7.4%
  • Next fixture: Sunderland (A)
  • Predicted points: 4.4

Kai Havertz's minutes have been a concern for FPL managers due to competition from Viktor Gyökeres, but the early evidence is encouraging.

The German has played 258 minutes across Arsenal's opening three league matches, while Gyökeres has managed just 12. Havertz has made those minutes count, scoring twice and collecting 16 FPL points.

Despite an injury-ravaged 2025/26 campaign, he scored nine goals and supplied three assists in just 23 appearances, finishing as Arsenal's leading goalscorer.

The Predicted Lineups tool gives Havertz a 92% chance of starting against Sunderland. As a result, he ranks third among forwards for predicted points over the next three Gameweeks, with 22.7.

fpl-forward-predicted-points-gw4-gw8-enhanced

Only Haaland (32.1) and João Pedro (24.9) are projected to score more, according to the Predicted Points & Stats tool.

There will always be some rotation risk, particularly with European football returning. However, if you believe the 27-year-old Germany international will remain Arsenal's first-choice Premier League forward, £7.5m looks excellent value for a starter in one of the division's strongest attacks.

Tyrick Mitchell: Attacking numbers back up his brace

  • Ownership: 5.5%
  • Next fixture: Ipswich Town (H)
  • Predicted points: 4.2

Tyrick Mitchell was the unlikely star of Gameweek 3, scoring twice against Fulham on his way to a 15-point haul.

A brace from a defender is not something managers should expect to be repeated, but his wider attacking numbers suggest the returns were not entirely out of the blue.

Mitchell Opta Touchmap

No Palace player has recorded more than Mitchell's 10 touches in the opposition penalty area, as shown in his Opta Touchmap.

The 27-year-old England defender also leads the Eagles for shots with five, while his four attempts in the box and three big chances are both joint-team-high totals.

Palace are yet to keep a clean sheet this season, but their upcoming fixtures against Ipswich at home, Leeds away and Nottingham Forest at home offer hope of turning that around. The Predicted Points & Stats tool gives them a 90% chance of keeping at least one clean sheet across that three-match run.

Luka Vušković: Last week's differential deserves another chance

  • Ownership: 4.7%
  • Next fixture: Coventry City (A)
  • Predicted points: 2.8

We recommended Luka Vušković ahead of Gameweek 3 and the Brighton defender immediately delivered 12 points against Leeds. The 19-year-old scored, kept a clean sheet, picked up defensive contribution points and collected two bonus points, showing his numerous routes to points.

vusković-goal-threat-stats-enhanced

His six shots taken are joint top for defenders so far this season as shown in the Opta Stats Sandbox tool.

His attacking potential is no short-term fluke. During his 2025/26 campaign with Hamburg, Vušković played 28 times and scored six goals from 5.76 xG. He also recorded 339 defensive contributions in 2,442 minutes — approximately 12.5 per 90 — through 251 clearances, 26 blocks, 40 interceptions and 22 tackles.

Brighton now travel to newly promoted Coventry before facing Liverpool at home and Chelsea away. The longer-term schedule becomes tougher after Gameweek 4, but Vušković's goal threat and DEFCON potential give him routes to points even when a clean sheet does not arrive.

Which FPL Gameweek 4 differential is best?

Gibbs-White offers the strongest combination of talismanic status, proven FPL output and favourable medium-term fixtures.

Havertz provides access to Arsenal's attack at an appealing price, but managers must accept the possible rotation risk.

Pino is the standout ultra-differential, with set pieces and creativity making him particularly attractive for managers seeking a budget midfielder.

In defence, Mitchell offers greater attacking freedom and the better medium-term fixtures, while Vušković combines set-piece threat with a much stronger DEFCON profile.

All five remain under 10% ownership, so a well-timed return could provide a significant boost to your Gameweek 4 rank.


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