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FPL Gameweek 25: Who To Target?

Fantasy Football Fix 13 Feb. 2024

In this blog, Fantasy Premier League (FPL) Gameweek 24's numbers are analysed to determine the best players and teams to target going forward.

xFPL review

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Saka tops the Custom Stats xFPL table for Gameweek 24 with a score of 15.1. The 22-year-old took more shots (eight) and shots in the box (SiB) (six) than any other player and was also top for 'big chances' (BC) (three). Luis Díaz was second with an xFPL score of 9.5, the Colombian international is the least popular of the Liverpool front three but his numbers indicate that he is worthy of consideration with four SiB and one BC. Doughty was the Gameweek's most creative player with nine attempted assists, none of these were classified as a BC created and were all low quality chances as shown by his 0.3 'Expected Assists' (xA) which meant an xFPL score of only 3.9. The most popular captain option, Haaland scored from two of his three SiB and notched an xFPL score of 8.3.

Early Transfer Activity Analysed

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As the above image from our Transfer Analytics feature shows, Double Gameweek assets are the priority for FPL managers with Haaland, Diogo J., Darwin and Luis Díaz taking up four of the top five transfer-ins. Solanke, J. Alvarez and Watkins all blanked over the weekend and are being sold to make way for the aforementioned forwards. In defence, FPL managers seem to have lost patience with Porro and the Spanish international takes up seven of the Top 10 defender transfer combinations with Gabriel, Aké and Reguilón popular acquisitions. In midfield, Palmer, Richarlison, Gordon, Bowen and even Saka are being sold for Diogo J. and Luis Díaz. Up top, Darwin, Haaland and Højlund are coming in for Solanke, J. Alvarez and Watkins.

Jota vs Darwin

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As the above image from our Opta Player Heatmaps feature shows, Diogo J. has now started each of the last four league games for Liverpool and has averaged 9.0 FPL points per game over that period. Darwin was benched for the away game at Arsenal and has notched nearly half (36 vs 19) the FPL points as Diogo J.

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Diogo J. has scored four goals to Darwin's three over the aforementioned period but the Uruguayan international is ahead significantly when it comes to 'Expected Goals' (xG) (1.37 vs 3.03), shots (10 vs 21), shots on target (SoT) (six vs 10), SiB (10 vs 15) and attempted assists (five vs seven). The data indicates that Darwin does have the higher ceiling over both the games in the double but it is the Uruguayan international's finishing that often lets him down with Diogo J. much more clinical in front of goal. They both look good options and if looking to captain one, Darwin appears to have the potential for a bigger haul.

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