It’s the final international break until March, with teams preparing for a hectic winter schedule once league action resumes in Gameweek 12.
In this blog, we break down which sides have the most favourable fixture runs over the next six Gameweeks, using Fixture Difficulty Ratings (FDR).
Whether you’re planning defensive reinforcements or hunting for attacking differentials, this analysis will help you make smarter transfer decisions for Gameweek 12 and beyond.
As the Fixture Difficulty Ratings show, Liverpool, Bournemouth, and Brighton sit in the top three for Attack Difficulty over the next six Gameweeks.
Liverpool’s next four fixtures look particularly promising, with the Reds set to face three of the current bottom five – Nottingham Forest, West Ham, and Wolves. Sunderland could pose a tougher challenge than expected, but that fixture comes at Anfield, rather than the Stadium of Light, where the Black Cats have been far more resilient.
As the below image from our Match Centre feature shows, Salah could prosper over this period. The Egyptian international is top amongst Liverpool players over their last five league matches for goals (two), 'Expected Goals' (xG) (3.1), shots on target (four) and attempted assists.
Bournemouth's schedule is interesting, the Gameweek 12 and Gameweek 17 fixtures against West Ham and Sunderland bookend a more tricky run where they play Chelsea and Man United in Gameweek 15 and 16.
Man City's next three home games are against Leeds, Sunderland and West Ham which should be of particular interest to FPL managers. As the below image from our Stats Sandbox feature shows, no team has generated a higher xG than their 13.45 in home matches this season.
Brighton play four of their next six matches at the Amex Stadium, where they’ll host Brentford, Aston Villa, West Ham, and Sunderland.
As shown in the image below from our Player Heatmaps feature, Minteh has averaged 5.4 FPL points per game in home fixtures this season and was featured in our recent Top 5 FPL Differentials You Can’t Ignore for Gameweeks 12 to 16 article.
Aston Villa face three of the current bottom five – Leeds, Wolves, and West Ham – in their next five fixtures. Even their two toughest matchups, against Arsenal and Man. United, come at Villa Park, where they’ve been particularly strong this season.
Brentford rank sixth for fixture difficulty, but it’s worth noting that the London side play only two of their next six matches at home. As highlighted in the Stats Sandbox, Brentford rank second for xG (11.86) in home games but drop to 11th away, as shown in the image below.
Similarly, Palace also play Wolves, Burnley, Fulham and Leeds away while their only home games over the next six are against the two Manchester sides.
Bournemouth top the Fixture Difficulty Ratings for defensive potential over the next six Gameweeks, with home fixtures against West Ham, Everton, and Burnley standing out as the most appealing. However, they also face tricky away trips to Sunderland and Man United during that run.
Man City's away trips against Newcastle, Fulham and Palace look potentially tricky for clean sheets but rotating their assets with a Man United defender could be fruitful, with the Red Devils also in the top five.
Liverpool's run looks particularly appealing from a defensive standpoint as well, especially the next four. As the below image from our Stats Sandbox feature shows, Senesi (141) is the only defender to have accumulated more DEFCON than Virgil (119) while Richards also looks a great pick with Palace's favourable run.
Fulham are ranked fifth but the home games against Sunderland and Palace may be trickier than they appear. However, as the above image shows, Andersen is ranked in the top 10 for DEFCON amongst defenders and could still accumulate points if the Cottagers do concede.
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