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Dave & Joe’s Fantasy Football Mix - GW34

21 April 2015

Unfortunately a day too late for the Pulitzer Prize 2015, here is this week's Fantasy Football Mix. As we said last week, there were more goals for Agüero as City brushed aside the struggling West Ham. It looks like he is back and with favourable fixtures on the horizon he looks the man to keep. Looking at last week’s dream team would suggest it was a week for differentials but thankfully some old reliables also chipped in with some points. Last week we looked at Chelsea players to stock up on in preparation of this DGW, this week’s article is all about the other teams playing twice in GW34 and how much should you gamble for a big DGW.

 

Liverpool

Liverpool crashed out of the FA Cup at the weekend with a whimper meaning that there'll be no vomit-inducing fairytale ending for Steven Gerrard. They now have just 7 games in which to make up a seemingly insurmountable 7 points on Manchester City - or else their season will end in a dreaded Europa League place. This chase begins this week with 2 away games against bottom half teams, West Brom and Hull. As Liverpool frustratingly had a blank week last weekend, many will have to take points hits to squeeze multiple Reds players into their squad for this week. In light of form, fixtures, and actually quality, is a -4 (or even -8) worth it?

Dave: My original plan was to take a points hit to get 3 Liverpool players in, the fixtures looked perfect for big points hauls. In light of last weekend’s displays, Liverpool struggling in the cup and West Brom going back to basics, Liverpool’s first game looks a lot trickier than first anticipated. Thankfully, Hull look like one of the worst teams in the league at the minute, 19th on the form table over the last 6 games with just 2 points. It looks like The Tigers are sinking and I’m hoping Philippe Coutinho and the rest of the Liverpool midfield are the concrete boots. Given his form at the minute, it’s easy to forget that he only scored once and had no assists in the first 16 league games of the season. This saw his value as low as £7.6m but it has now risen to £7.8min light of recent performances. Expect his stock, and that of all Liverpool players, to rise this week as FPL managers look to cash in on Liverpool’s fixtures. In terms of defenders, my main recommendation is Alberto Moreno. He plays almost as a left winger, and you don’t have to worry about selection issues as he’s virtually unopposed. He is currently £5.3m, 0.6m cheaper than the only other realistic defensive option, Martin Skrtel. Think I’m gonna risk a 4 point deduction to get in 2 Liverpool players, bringing my DGW players total to 5.

Joe: While Coutinho may seem the safest option as an Eriksen/Silva replacement, I am starting to lean towards the *ahem* unsettled Raheem Sterling. The Jamaican winger was impressive in his last Premier League game, scoring against Newcastle and I am backing him for a good spell of end-of-season form as he looks to perhaps put himself in the shop window for top European clubs. At £8.5m he doesn't come as cheap as other options but, as we saw at the start of the season, he has the potential to go on an explosives points run. A cheaper option is Jordan Hendersonwho, at£6.7m,has more than adequately deputised for the Hollywood-bound Steven Gerrard this year. With an impressive 47 points in his last 6, the box-to-box midfielder ticks a lot of boxes for those looking to save money to reinvest elsewhere. A mention must also go to the currently yellow-flagged Daniel Sturridge.At £11.1mhe doesn't come cheap, but with his DGW fixtures, he may be a gamble that turns one's FPL season around.

 

Hull and Leicester

The end of season fixtures aren’t all about the glamour of Chelsea gunning for the title and Liverpool chasing the top 4, in fact, the most exciting aspect of the run-in looks set to be the battle for relegation. Two of the teams in the bottom 4 play their games in hand this week and will be looking to gain any advantage they can before GW35. Hull play Palace and Leicester take on Burnley before they host Liverpool and Chelsea respectively.

Dave: As I said above, Hull City are a sinking ship. The thoughts of FA Cup finals are a distant memory. The form is against them, the fixtures are against them, they seem doomed to me. I unintentionally still have Alex Brucein my team and he’s playing twice so I might give him a run-out. Other than that I wouldn’t fancy any of their players, apart from possibly Dame N’Doye as a serious differential option. With ownership of 0.2% and valued at £5.5m, he’s probably gonna get at least 4 points so as a third choice striker he might be worth a punt.

Joe: After their third win on the trot at the weekend, Leicester are now odds-on to avoid the drop. The Foxes are now playing with confidence and are almost unrecognisable from the team that have been rooted to the bottom of the league for the majority of the season. With 4 of their remaining 7 games against teams from the bottom 7, it seems like the previously derided Nigel Pearson will pull off a great escape. In terms of players, at£4.8mand with 26 points in his last 4, Jamie Vardyis a real base price striking option. I also have to mention my tip from last week, Esteban Cambiasso,who, after a 6 point haul, now has 22 points in his last 3 games. The combative Argentinian has said that avoiding relegation with Leicester would be one of the highlights of his career and it now looks like this wish will come through for the in-form £4.8m midfielder.

 

Best of the rest

We also discussed United’s renaissance in depth last week and now that the Chelsea game is out of the way, those tips will hopefully really show their worth for the remainder of the season. There are some other fixtures that should provide decent opportunities to get some high points totals.

Dave: Say it in hushed voices, but GW34 potentially has a case for getting rid of Harry Kane. Spurs go to Southampton this week before they face City next week. Potential similarly-priced swaps for him are Danny Ings or whoever is doing the strikery stuff for Swansea these days (his friends call himNelson Oliveira). I’d be inclined to go with the former rather than the latter. Burnley have struggled for goals as of late, but they need to start picking up points sooner rather than later which may mean committing more men forward in search for goals. I plan on swapping Kane for Giroud next week due to Arsenal’s lovely run-in after the Chelsea game this week since I’ve freed up some funds. If you can't wait that long, Ings or Jamie Vardy (like Joe mentioned) are both good shouts. It is admittedly a risk, but it is a stage in the season where risks must be taken if you want to make the jumps up the league for bragging rights. With my own ranking around the 100,000 mark (I lived in America for the first 18 gameweeks, don’t judge me), a decent differential option could potentially help half my ranking between now and the end of the season. If that means praying to the great, big Tim Sherwood’s ego in the sky that Harry Kane doesn’t score again, then so be it.

Joe:I'm naturally quite a cautious guy and I tend to go with the herd mainly in FPL, therefore this week I'd strongly recommend steering clear of non-DGW related transfers. There is no need to take points hits for players only playing once instead of Liverpool players. That said, if you are a highly organised player who has saved up a transfer this week and are trying to implement a longer term strategy, I'd keep an eye on the returning Mathieu Debuchy,and his aforementioned lovely run-in,at £5.2m. In terms of who to shift out for the Frenchman (or indeed Moreno/Skrtel), I'd be looking firmly at the Southampton backline who face a tough final few games. Messrs Bertrand and Clyne have served us all well over the season but it may be time to say goodbye.


Always, comments are appreciated on the post or ask us any questions directly on twitter using the hashtag #FantasyFootballMix 

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