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Gameweek 17: Top Three FPL Captaincy Picks

Fantasy Football Fix 14 Dec. 2023

In this blog, the three best Captaincy options for Fantasy Premier League (FPL) Gameweek 16 are discussed. Picks are in the below format:

  1. No.1 predicted by Fix 
  2. Alternative high-ownership option. Over 20%
  3. Differential option. Under 20%

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Dominic Solanke (LUT)

Solanke's eight goals this season trails only Haaland (14) amongst forwards, the Bournemouth forward is second for shots (38) with only Jackson (16), Darwin (18) and Haaland (27) being afforded more 'big chances' (BC) than his 14. He is also ranked fourth for 'Expected Goals' (xG) (8.23). Bournemouth have scored 21 goals this season (12th). However, they have improved recently, the Cherries have scored 13 goals over the last six Gameweeks (third) with only Arsenal (68) taking more SiB than their 67, and the South Coast side are ranked fourth for xG (11.48). Their vistiors Luton have conceded 32 goals this campaign with only Burnley (34) and Sheff. Utd. (41) faring worse. They are one of only two teams yet to keep a clean sheet. Meanwhile, only Sheff. Utd. (292) have allowed opponents more shots than the Hatters (283) and they are bottom for 'Expected Goals Conceded' (xGC) (37.56). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 6.4 for Solanke.

gw17capssolanke

Mohamed Salah (MUN)

Salah is only three goals (11) behind Haaland in the Golden Boot race and will fancy catching up in his absence, as the Stats Sandbox image below shows the Egyptian international is top amongst midfielders for shots (47), shots in the box (SiB) (31), BC (15) and xG (10.13). He is also top for assists (seven), BC created (13) and 'Expected Assists' (xA) (6.94). Liverpool have scored 36 goals this campaign with only Man. City (38) more prolific. They are top for both shots (280) and xG (34.43). Man. Utd. have conceded 21 goals and have kept five clean sheets. The data indicates they have been lucky, the Red Devils are ranked 16th for shots conceded (238) and 15th for xGC (27.98). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 6.2 for Salah.

gw17capsalah

Phil Foden (CRY)

Foden has started each of the last five league matches for Man. City, as the below image from our Match Stats feature shows over those games he is third amongst their players for goals (one) and chances created (five) while he is top for shots on target (SoT) (eight) and second for xG (1.1). Man. City have scored 38 goals this season (first), they are top for SoT (105) and second for xG (33.36). Their visitors Palace have conceded 23 goals this season (ninth) and have kept five clean sheets. The Eagles are ranked sixth for both shots conceded (195) and xGC (22.77) but are suffering with injuries and suspensions to key players. Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 4.7 for Foden.

gw17capsfoden


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