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In this blog the Top Five Fantasy Premier League (FPL) Key Players for Gameweek 4 are discussed. Every FPL Gameweek, picks will be in the below format:
1x Defender or Goalkeeper
2x Attackers less than £8.5m
2x Attackers £8.5m or over
Salah has clocked just 75 minutes across the last eight Gameweeks but the Egyptian should be back to full fitness after having the international break off to recuperate. No midfielder has scored more goals (11) in home matches than the Egyptian international while he is also top for shots (44), shots on target (SoT) (25), ‘big chances’ (BC) (14) and ‘Expected Goals’ (xG) (9.79). Meanwhile, he is also top for BC created (11) and ‘Expected Assists’ (xA) (5.77). As the below image from our Predicted Lineups feature shows, he is rated at 100% to start for the Reds. Liverpool have scored 13 goals over the last six Gameweeks with only Arsenal (23) more prolific. The Merseyside outfit are third for shots (110) and top for BC (20). Their visitors Brighton have conceded six goals (fourth) across the same period and have kept two clean sheets. The Seagulls are ranked third for shots conceded (49) and second for ‘Expected Goals Conceded’ (xGC) (4.99). Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a point score of 7.1 for Salah.
Watkins has found the back of the net five times across the last six Gameweeks with only Muniz (six) more prolific amongst forwards. The England international is third for shots in the box (SiB) (18) and second for BC (seven). As the below image from our Opta Player Heatmaps feature shows, he has averaged 6.1 FPL points per game in home matches this season. Villa have scored 11 goals over the last six Gameweeks and are fifth for BC (17). The Midlands side are also fifth for xG (11.29). Their derby rivals Wolves have conceded seven goals (seventh) over the same period and have kept just one clean sheet. They are ranked ninth for SiB conceded (50) and 11th for xGC (9.62). Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a point score of 5.6 for Watkins.
Palmer has been Chelsea’s top scorer in home matches this season with six goals, while only N. Jackson beats him for shots (29 vs 27), BC (13 vs seven) and xG (6.85 vs 4.87) amongst Chelsea players. Meanwhile, only Gallagher (20) has created more chances than his 17. As the below image from our Transfer Analytics feature shows, he is the second most transferred in player this week. Chelsea have scored 47 goals this season in 27 matches (eighth) and are ranked seventh for both BC (77) and xG (50.81). Their opponents Burnley have conceded 16 goals (19th) over the last six Gameweeks and have kept no clean sheets. The Clarets are ranked 16th for SiB conceded (75) and xGC (12.20). Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a point score of 3.4 for Palmer.
Maddison has notched three assists and a goal since his return to the Spurs side in Gameweek 22, as the Opta Stats Sandbox image below shows, over that period he is top amongst Spurs players for attempted assists (13) while only Son (five) has created more BC than his three. He is also third for shots (12) with only Werner (15) and Richarlison (17) faring better. Spurs have scored 10 goals across the last six Gameweeks (seventh) and are ranked third for BC (19). Their visitors Luton have conceded a whopping 18 goals (20th) over the last six Gameweeks and have kept no clean sheets. The Hatters are bottom for shots conceded (130) and xGC (17.65). Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a point score of 5.7 for Maddison.
Porro’s total of eight FPL assists this season is only bettered by Doughty (57) and Trippier (63) amongst defenders, the right-back is also third for BC created (10) with only Trippier (12) and Alexander-Arnold (13) faring better. Spurs have conceded seven goals over the last six Gameweeks (seventh) and are also ranked seventh for xGC (6.69). Luton have scored 10 goals over the same period (eighth) and are ranked seventh for xG (10.63). However, they have played an extra game more than most of the league over the aforementioned period with their Double Gameweek in 28. Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects 30% chance of a Spurs clean sheet and a point score of 4.5 for Porro.
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